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ddd -rd/ ----d The Federal Reserve's policy decision released on Thursday (July 2) finally announced that it would not raise interest rates for the time being. This was still more or less what investors had expected. Therefore, the global market did not experience the expected violent fluctuations. However, despite this, the U.S. dollar index still remained stable. Hitting a fresh three-week low in . At the same time, spot gold prices continued to jump more than %, but crude oil prices performed relatively sluggishly.
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ddd -rd/ ----d List of main market conditions:
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ddd -rd/ ----d The U.S. dollar index fell slightly after the Federal Reserve chose to postpone raising interest rates as expected. However, Fed Chairman Yellen still hinted in her speech that there is still a high chance that the first interest rate hike will come within the year, which curbed the U.S. dollar. The further decline of the index made the upward trend of most non-US currencies, especially commodity currencies, appear short-lived. The market's focus will then turn to the weekend's Greek election and the negotiations between the two parties in the U.S. Congress on budget issues. If the U.S. government is shut down again, its negative impact may cause the Federal Reserve to further delay raising interest rates and worsen the global risk appetite environment.
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ddd -rd/ ----d The U.S. stock market was tangled on Thursday. Although the Federal Reserve announced that it would suspend raising interest rates, expectations of raising interest rates still exist after all, and Yellen In his speech, he also made it clear that it was possible to raise interest rates at the end of the month, which made stock market investors' excitement short-lived. After returning to the point after four weeks, the S&P index fell back in late trading and finally turned red and closed down (the rise in U.S. stocks The falling color is opposite to that of the stock). The S&P closed down .1 points, or .%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down, or .%, at .3 points. The Nasdaq Composite closed up, or .%, at .3 points. In addition to expectations of further interest rate hikes in the future, some negative economic conditions mentioned by the Federal Reserve in its resolution also put pressure on stock market investor sentiment. European stocks that closed earlier before the release of the Federal Reserve meeting decision overall closed slightly higher.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Crude oil prices failed to continue their gains after a previous rebound and finally ended slightly lower. Although the U.S. dollar index retreated, which was positive for U.S. dollar-denominated crude oil prices, the market was suppressed by factors such as oversupply and crude oil inventories remaining high. Various reports show that the world's major oil-producing countries still have ulterior motives, making production cuts and price guarantees a dead letter. Therefore, the rise in oil prices is unsustainable. Crude oil fell below the US dollar/barrel again at the beginning of Friday.
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ddd -rd/ ----dThe spot gold price is the only big winner after the Federal Reserve announced that it would stand still. The Federal Reserve postponed the process of raising interest rates and frequently talked about the internal and external troubles facing the U.S. economy in its speech. This caused crude oil prices to continue to rise after breaking out of the consolidation range on Wednesday and once touching the high of the U.S. dollar. Since then, various uncertainties in the global economy still exist, which will still make safe-haven gold assets continue to be popular.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Market news overview:
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ddd -rd/ ---- During the New York session on March d, the Federal Reserve announced an interest rate resolution of -proportional resolution to maintain -.% interest rates unchanged. Only Richmond Chairman Lake said that interest rates should be raised immediately. . The Fed's decision statement pointed out that recent global economic and financial conditions have caused a slight tightening of economic activity that may put further downward pressure on inflation in the near future. Risks remain for the economy and job market to remain balanced but overseas risks are being monitored.
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ddd -rd/ ----d The Federal Reserve released its economic forecast on Thursday (Monday), raising the median expected federal funds rate at the end of the year from .% The cut to .% lowered the year-end federal funds rate forecast to .% from .%. The forecast for the federal funds rate at the end of the year was lowered to .% from .%. The median forecast for the long-term federal funds rate was raised to .% from .
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ddd -rd/ ----d Fed officials said they hope to raise interest rates for the first time this year. Previously, they hoped to raise interest rates next year. Change the previous name.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen said at a press conference that the labor market has made solid progress since the last meeting. The Fed still expects downward pressure on inflation to diminish. The committee's view on the economic outlook remained unchanged. It would be appropriate to start raising interest rates when we see further improvement in the job market and a pickup in inflation. Yellen reiterated that decisions will be based on data. After the first interest rate hike, the stance of monetary policy will remain highly accommodative for a period of time. Sustained job growth supported household spending while pointing to modest fixed investment growth.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Yellen also pointed out that overseas prospects face more uncertainties. Recent financial market volatility may constrain the U.S. economy, with particular concerns about volatility caused by growth in China and emerging markets. Although the economy has recovered significantly, interest rate hikes were discussed, but the decision was ultimately made to wait and see in view of overseas uncertainty and weak inflation.
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ddd -rd/ ----d OPEC believes that oil prices will gradually return to US dollars by 2020. Non-OPEC supply is expected to be reduced in 2020. 10,000 barrels believes oil demand will have a limited response to lower prices. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries believes oil prices will gradually rise to a dollar per barrel in 2018 as international supply growth weakens and several members say they need a slower recovery.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Data released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia on Thursday (July 2) showed that monthly manufacturing activity in the mid-Atlantic region of the United States unexpectedly It shrank for the first time in months last year. The Philadelphia Fed said its monthly manufacturing index fell to negative levels, the lowest level in years and well below analysts' expectations of a positive month.