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Haruhiko Kuroda published this week In his speech, he admitted for the first time that negative interest rates disrupt financial intermediary activities and thus affect the economy. He still insists that there is room for further interest rate cuts, but it feels like the chances have dropped a lot. This means that the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy review meeting on May 1st may be more aggressive.
The issue of negative interest rates adopted by the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank threatens all companies such as banks, insurance companies and pension funds that make profits from the time value of money.
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As a low Financial institutions that borrow short-term funds at high prices and then lend them for a longer period of time at higher interest rates to make profits, the decline in deposit interest rates will hurt their profits, which may in turn suppress banks' willingness to lend, Kuroda said
Negative interest rate policy This usually has a considerable impact on the profits of financial institutions, mainly because bank deposit balances far exceed lending, and long-term competition among financial institutions has resulted in extremely low interest rate spreads on deposits.
In addition, when Kuroda Haruhiko analyzed the interaction between banking business and negative interest rates, he also pointed out that demographic factors also have an impact, but unfortunately he is beyond his reach.
The scale of Japanese bank deposits is much higher than that of loans, partly due to demographic issues. Japan is an aging society, with an increasing number of elderly people who have low consumption and are not working. After saving a sum of money, older people (especially in Asia) often frugally cut down on expenses and rarely start new businesses. Demand for loans in Japan is therefore quite sluggish, as would-be business owners find a society with a shrinking population less attractive to invest in.
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