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''Spot gold prices last Friday showed a downward trend. Although the decline is not large, it reflects the market's fear of raising interest rates as the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting approaches. < The bleeding phenomenon in mainstream trading may continue
''Although the mainstream view in the market still believes that the probability of the Federal Reserve taking action this week is extremely slim, the priority attitude towards avoiding black swan events has led to the emergence of funds in most of the global mainstream trading markets. The blood loss on the surface is expected to continue.
''The weekly report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday (June 2) showed that hedge funds and fund managers reduced their holdings of gold in the week as of March 2 amid uncertainty over whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week. and a net long position in silver. Gold's net long position retreated from weekly highs hit last week. Last week, large speculators increased their net long positions in silver for the first time in a week and reduced their holdings again this week.
''Tools that calculate the probability of the Fed raising interest rates through federal funds rate derivatives show that the market expects the probability of the Fed taking action this week to be %.%.%. It can be seen that the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will take action in September is the mainstream.