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r Song Dynasty> News:
r Song Dynasty> Spot gold rose for the second consecutive trading day, boosted by slowing economic growth in China and weakness in Asian stock markets. Gold’s safe-haven appeal. Spot gold rose .% to $.USD per ounce.
r Song Dynasty> Last week, the weekly report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday (July 2) showed that C silver speculative net long positions increased to 100,000 hands, which was the highest since the data began to be disclosed in 2018. level. Despite the recent two-week decline in silver prices after hitting monthly highs, silver positions remain elevated. C gold speculative net long position decreased by lots to lots.
r Songti>The Federal Reserve’s movements have always been the focus of investors’ attention. In the first quarter of last year, the U.S. economic growth was weak and the international environment was worrying, which prevented the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates as many times as it wished. This year it seems that it will repeat the same mistakes as last year. : Economic data in the first quarter were disappointing again, and overseas risks still threaten the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The market generally expects that the Federal Reserve will only raise interest rates in May this year at most, and the probability of a monthly interest rate hike is less than %. Even the probability of a monthly interest rate hike has not reached %. This has significantly boosted bullish demand for gold.
r Songti>Technical analysis:
r Songti>Spot gold:
r Songti>Spot gold went through a roller coaster market last Friday, stretching after two nearby tests in late trading , the daily negative line was swallowed up, and finally a small upper shadow line and a big positive line were collected. After the opening of the morning, gold continued Friday's rising trend, stretched with the Asian and European markets twice, and reached the highest line. From the combination of the daily chart line shape Look, after collecting a deformed doji last Tuesday, gold began to fluctuate for three consecutive trading days. It strengthened on the previous trading day and continued its bullish trend today. The price below stabilized above the daily moving average and the daily moving average. From the daily chart, Looking at the price, there are signs of testing the barrier again. From an hourly perspective, there is a triple bottom nearby. The price has started to rise since it touched the first line for the second time on Friday. The hourly combination pattern shows a continuous positive trend. At present, above the hour, the price has reversed after breaking through the Bollinger upper rail. The hourly line has shown a rising trend. To attack, we need to pay attention to the first-line resistance at present. The market trend during the day is bullish, and I personally recommend going long after a pullback. Strategic suggestions:
r Songti> If the price falls back to the first line, go long, stop loss, and target
r Songti> If the price does not fall back and rise directly, the top needs to place short positions nearby, stop loss, and target
r Songti>Spot silver:
r Songti>Spot silver started to rise near the test line last Friday. The daily line received a small positive line with smaller upper and lower shadow lines. Judging from the shape of the daily chart, Friday Near the test, a double bottom appeared on the daily line. In today's Asian session, silver continued its strength from Friday and continued to fluctuate upward. The price is currently stabilizing on the mid-track line, the daily Bollinger Bands are closing, and there is a price top divergence on the chart. But pay attention to one thing, silver Not weak at all, the price rose to the first line, and continued to rise after the correction fell below the point. The daily silver line is still an adjustment, and we need to pay attention to the opening of the daily Bollinger Bands later. From the hourly chart, the price fluctuates between the hourly upper and lower rails. Between Friday's lowest point, it tested the lower rail and first-line support and rebounded. From the current point of view, silver still has room to rise above today, but the cycle is still adjusting. Pay attention to the resistance near the first line in the evening. In daytime operations, you can still adopt a high-altitude, low-long strategy. The high point , low point, strategy suggestions:
r Songti>Short, stop loss, target
r Songti>Go long, stop loss, target