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Consulting call: The Bank of England lowered its inflation expectations and Draghi's easing remarks boosted the dollar index. The Bank of England lowered its forecasts for British economic growth and inflation in its quarterly inflation report on Wednesday, suggesting that the country's central bank is unlikely to raise interest rates before the second half of next year.
The inflation report showed that policymakers led by Governor Carney lowered their forecasts for the British economy and annual growth in the report from monthly and annual forecasts to and still forecast annual economic growth.
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Analysts pointed out that the Bank of England’s wording in the quarterly inflation report is undoubtedly more dovish than before, and this is basically what everyone has said before. as expected.
After the Bank of England lowered its expectations for inflation and economic growth, the first interest rate hike will be postponed to at least the second half of the year. This means that the pace of interest rate hikes by the Bank of England will also be slower than that of the Federal Reserve, the United States, and the United Kingdom. The policy interest rate may also be inverted in the future, which is also quite negative for the medium and long-term trend prospects of the pound.
Draghi also reiterated its loose stance overnight and the European Central Bank will keep interest rates at low levels and prepare to take further unconventional easing measures if inflation expectations fail to pick up.
Draghi expressed the above position at a meeting in Rome, Italy, saying that the European Central Bank's comprehensive implementation of very low interest rate policies and measures to expand the size of its balance sheet have created an unprecedented crisis in the euro zone. Monetary easing environment.
Draghi believes that the European Central Bank will take further unconventional easing measures once the mid-term inflation expectations in the euro zone deteriorate or the easing measures that have been implemented prove to be ineffective.