- 大连贵金属代理:
- 大连贵金属代理
- 大连贵金属代理:
- 大连贵金属代理
- 大连贵金属代理:
- 大连贵金属代理
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Which asset is mispriced today? Paul, a former manager at one of the world's largest hedge funds, said the answer is gold. He accurately predicted the financial crisis of 2006.
Jinshi has previously reported
economists believe that the United States is likely to experience a recession in the next four years, with a probability of close to %. Paul predicts that the United States will experience an economic recession within the next year. Once global financial markets collapse, precious metals are expected to appreciate in value.
Gold prices have risen by more than % so far this year, but last week gold had its worst week in three years, plunging by more than %. The recent collapse in gold prices has seriously damaged investor confidence. Uncertainty over the Brexit process and the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes triggered a flight to the U.S. dollar, causing gold prices to fall.
If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates at the end of the year, gold prices may fall, but if the economy slows down, gold will become a safe haven for investors. Paul said in an interview:
With the popularity of negative interest rates around the world, gold has become a good place for cash flow. I have recently interviewed many well-known investors, and they all expressed optimism about the future trend of gold. &r
Paul has believed that the United States is about to enter a recession in 2019. This is based on the laws of the economic cycle. Since 2008, the U.S. economy will have entered a recession within one year after every two presidential elections.
Paul's view is also consistent with indicators from the Federal Reserve, which predicts a 10% chance of a recession next year based on corporate bond interest rate spreads. In addition, "Bond King" Gross also mentioned in his investor guide last month that the U.S. economic recovery is lagging behind, and "New Bond King" Gundlach also recently hinted that the U.S. economy has entered the beginning of a recession.
It does no one any good to point out that the U.S. economy is in shambles before the presidential election, but in fact, global trade, cargo shipments, retail sales data, restaurant sales, factory orders and durable goods orders are all showing signs of a recession
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