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While the U.S. presidential election drama is in full swing, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is quietly approaching. Investors are already in a dilemma and are sweating nervously. Beijing time on Thursday (June 1): The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and issue a policy statement. With less than a week before the U.S. election, the market widely believes that the Federal Reserve will remain on hold this week but will raise interest rates next month.
Bernstein (RBr), CEO of investment consulting firm RB, said that the Federal Reserve will obviously not take action this time. They have seen enough of the market’s uneasiness.
However, some market observers believe that the Fed will release a signal hinting at a rate hike at the next meeting. After all, the Fed hinted at a monthly rate hike at the autumn meeting last year, and then the Fed took its first action in the past decade. . But this year is different from previous years. The U.S. presidential election is imminent, and the market is worried that Yellen will make bigger moves before then. In fact, the Fed may be more troubled than investors.
Meyer, chief U.S. economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, pointed out that the Fed will emphasize some words this time, such as risks are becoming balanced and there are more reasons to support raising interest rates, and other words that strongly hint at raising interest rates.
Hissenrath (h), a Wall Street Journal reporter known as the Federal Reserve News Agency, wrote that this resolution and statement may be similar to the one in 2018, when the Fed subtly used this term to a certain extent in its policy statement. The wording indicates that interest rates will be raised when the job market improves to a certain extent, indicating that the threshold for raising interest rates has been lowered and they only need to see further reasons.
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