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Switzerland benefits from a current account surplus and a strong budget scale, and its legislation, government and central bank systems are all There is a high degree of confidence and, importantly, there is ample liquidity in Switzerland. In addition, although the Swiss National Bank has long struggled with the overvalued Swiss franc, the Swiss economy is still highly competitive and is often dubbed the most competitive country in the world.
For investors, however, the Swiss franc is flawed because the Swiss National Bank maintains strong barriers to offset speculative positions in the currency. The Swiss National Bank not only maintains negative interest rates, but also makes it very clear that foreign exchange intervention is a policy tool.
Almost all indicators show that the Swiss franc is overvalued, and the strength of the Swiss franc comes at a cost. Exporters not only have to face the dilemma of weakened competitiveness, but also the slowdown in inflation has continued to worry the market. The Swiss National Bank expects annual inflation to fall by .% and rise by just .%.
Contrary to the Swiss franc, despite the sharp decline in the dollar against the yen since the beginning of the year, all indicators do not indicate that the yen is overvalued. As a member country, Japan's Ministry of Finance would risk facing significant international criticism if it intended to intervene in the currency market.
In fact, for the Swiss franc, there are greater risks in implementing foreign exchange intervention, which is expected to be one of the reasons why the Swiss franc continued to fall against the Japanese yen from mid-year to mid-year. The exchange rate has been trading within a range in recent months, but rising uncertainty related to the US election will be positive for the yen against the Swiss franc. Against this background, the Swiss franc is expected to fall towards the monthly low again against the yen. .
Qingdao International Nonferrous Metals National Investment Promotion, Investment Hotline: QQ welcomes friends from inside and outside the industry to consult.