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' H', H, ,d> Under this circumstance, Trump’s speech in support of low interest rates in 2018 may be more consistent with his economic proposition and have more economic logic. Trump has two clear economic propositions: trade protectionism and borrowing money to build infrastructure. Both of these economic propositions require a low interest rate environment to be realized. Therefore, if Trump wants to realize these two propositions after taking office, he must maintain the current low interest rate environment.
' H', H, , d Therefore, Trump's remarks about raising interest rates mainly serve his campaign purposes. Once Trump comes to power, what is truly in line with his economic proposition is to maintain a low interest rate environment. From this point of view, the fundamentals of silver's mid-term rise have not changed.
' H', H, , d Uncertainty, or black swan events, will only cause fluctuations in precious metal prices, but it cannot determine the direction of precious metal fluctuations, so it does not necessarily lead to an increase in the risk aversion of gold and silver. In other words, the results of uncertain events must be analyzed in detail to determine which ones are dangerous and which ones are stable. For example, if the US election is a black swan event, the rise and fall of precious metal prices is not a unilateral rise due to the uncertainty of who will be elected. Silver is by no means a safe haven in such a simple sense.