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The U.S. dollar index performed strongly on Wednesday, not only regaining the integer mark again, It once hit a new high in more than 13 years. On the one hand, the market expects that Trump's fiscal policy is expected to promote U.S. economic growth. U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, providing rising momentum for the U.S. dollar. Many Federal Reserve officials have released the Fed's monthly The signal of raising interest rates also provided support to the US dollar, while gold prices continued to be under pressure.
The three major factors supporting the rise of the US dollar are: fiscal stimulus, corporate tax reform, and the accelerated rate of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. As long as these factors exist, there is no reason for dollar strength to change. Trump's first speech after winning the election elaborated on fiscal stimulus, including tax reform for profit repatriation. Investors responded well to this. Trump, Republicans and even some Democrats support corporate tax reform. Therefore, these reforms may be implemented at the beginning of Trump's administration. These policies will push up U.S. stocks, U.S. bond nominal yields, U.S. bond real yields and inflation expectations, while also providing upward momentum for the U.S. dollar.
On the evening of Wednesday (January), Beijing time: The U.S. Energy Information Administration announced that crude oil inventories increased by 10,000 barrels in the week ending on March 1, marking an increase for three consecutive weeks. At the same time as the data was released, Russian Energy Minister Novak said that crude oil prices should be at a fair position for investors, and will continue to negotiate on joint actions in the crude oil market. OPEC is very likely to reach an agreement, and it is expected that OPEC will reach an agreement on January 1. consensus reached before. Novak also said he would likely meet with Saudi Energy Minister Falih in Doha to discuss achieving a short-term balance in the crude oil market. Novak further stated that we have agreed to implement a production freeze and have not yet decided when to implement the production freeze. It may be May or May. However, the decision lies with OPEC, and Russia will support OPEC’s decision. Unfortunately, Novak said that the framework for the meeting on October 1 has not yet been decided. On the other hand, Russia, the EU and Ukraine will soon launch natural gas negotiations. Shanghai Huatong Platinum National Investment Promotion Hotline: QQ welcomes friends from inside and outside the industry to consult.