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' The U.S. dollar had a clear downward trend before the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, but it was relatively calm after the minutes were released. It only fluctuated slightly back and forth and remained weakly consolidated near the bottom of the five-day consolidation range, while the gold market was long and short. The competition became more intense, with the lowest hitting . before the New York market opened, and then fluctuating violently above that level, with the highest hitting . Silver still consolidated around the mark and basically closed flat.
' Judging from the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, the Fed's stance is not as dovish as announced at the March meeting, but it only hints that the probability of raising interest rates in March is reduced, and that May may become a better option. It can be said that it did not disappoint the market. , but there was no big surprise. The minutes of the meeting showed that several officials believed that the resistance to economic growth will only slowly weaken, so they should take a cautious stance on raising interest rates. If interest rates are raised in March, it may be regarded as a hasty signal by the market. However, some officials believe that if the next data is consistent with Moderate economic growth, further improvement in employment, and expectations that inflation will return to the target level in the medium term necessitate a rate hike in March. Although the U.S. economy is performing quite strongly relative to the global economy, some officials are worried that the global economic slowdown will drag down the United States, causing exports to decline and companies to reduce investment.
'Two Federal Reserve officials delivered hawkish speeches that day. Cleveland Fed President Mester said that the fundamentals of the U.S. economy will remain solid this year, with economic growth expected to reach . The Fed can gradually increase short-term interest rates, and warned that if not In doing so, the risk would be to lag behind the Fed's economic goals. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said the slowdown in economic growth in the first quarter may be related to seasonal factors and has not fundamentally changed the U.S. economic outlook because inflation has picked up. However, whether it is the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting or the speeches of Federal Reserve officials, after Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen set a dovish tone last week, the market still lacks confidence in the Federal Reserve raising interest rates soon. This is why the US dollar has remained low and weak. A big reason.
' It should be noted that the US dollar is weak but cannot fall, while gold is weak but cannot rise. In comparison, gold may have greater downside risks in the short and medium term. Early this morning, current Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen attended the meeting with three previous presidents including Greenspan, Bernanke and Volcker. The market may see a fierce collision between hawkish and dovish views, which may be another time for gold. Opportunities for decision-making.