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Yesterday, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the current week was slightly lower than the previous value and higher than expected. The monthly rate of the U.S. Conference Board's leading indicator was higher than the previous value and expected. The decline in initial jobless claims is a positive for the U.S. dollar index. A rise in another indicator is also good for the U.S. dollar.
The U.S. dollar index continued to rise slightly yesterday after the sharp rise the day before. It is a small consolidation after the big rise, but the upward trend remains unchanged in the future. After the gold and silver fell sharply, they continued to fall deeply and the momentum became smaller. It may consolidate within a day or two. Choose a direction.
News:
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that interest rates may be raised in May. The US dollar has strengthened sharply, but the market does not need to react too fiercely. Although we have seen gold and silver and other metals falling rapidly, it is not difficult to find that gold and silver have actually already It has reached the point where consolidation is needed, but there is not enough time. Adjustment requires a reason, and a possible interest rate hike is just one. However, the market has already digested the expectation of a possible interest rate hike. I'm afraid it's just a psychological reaction at the moment.
We can analyze the trends of various types of gold, silver and other gold and silver. When there is a correction, look at it from a small level, especially from a unilateral trend, that is, for example, a one-hour small level state. From a trend perspective, look at this small level. According to the trend or wave theory, the corresponding unilateral direction should have a correction trend. However, from a large-scale perspective, we can only see consolidation and even the trend is upward. However, any trend is irreversible, so we can also see yesterday's operation. In fact, most of the suggestions are for a wait-and-see approach because the daily consolidation and trend, including the support level and the small trend, are contradictory. Judging from today's trend, the small-level trend will have to come out and complete the adjustment before the adjustment is completed.
Let’s focus on Spain in Europe. Spain’s cumulative debt in the first quarter reached 1 trillion euros. This is the first time since 2008 that the proportion of debt has exceeded 1%. The Spanish economy is still growing but at a slower pace than the expansion of the national debt. The national debt is equally distributed to individuals in euros. In addition, Italy’s debt-to-D ratio is close to %.
Looking at these countries in Europe, we can guess that the recovery of the Eurozone has a long way to go, so when the US dollar strengthens, it seems a little helpless. More importantly, the supporting effect on gold and silver is obviously not great, so the suppressive effect of the US dollar rebound is also There was a temporary fluctuation.
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