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ddd -rd/ --- -d: Super Thursday finally comes to an end. The market is not as exciting as everyone expected, because the pre-non-agricultural market prefers to wait and see and wait for heavy data guidance. First of all, the European Central Bank kept the three major interest rates unchanged on Thursday (July 2). This was actually expected, but Draghi's press conference was also unexpectedly uneventful. The much-anticipated reversal drama did not take place as scheduled. In addition, the small non-farm payrolls released by the United States during the day showed a moderate increase in monthly employment. The number of initial job applications last week was also lower than expected, indicating that the job market continues to improve. After today's data was released, the U.S. dollar index rebounded modestly from its lows and refreshed its intraday high to... The gold market has not changed much and remains trading at around USD/oz. The market remains cautious before the arrival of non-farm payrolls. The performance of spot silver was even more dull, with the highest price rising and the lowest price of the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar fluctuated throughout the day. However, compared to the gold, silver and crude oil markets, the market actually managed to steal the show and the trend was relatively active, and once again staged a passionate roller coaster market. It seems to have stolen the spotlight from Super Mario Draghi.
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ddd -rd/ ----d The European Central Bank on Thursday slightly raised its economic growth and inflation forecasts for the euro zone this year but kept them in negative territory. It kept key interest rates unchanged and said it would continue to implement unprecedented stimulus measures.
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ddd -rd/ ----d European Central Bank President Draghi said at a press conference on Thursday (July 2) that it will continue at least until It will continue until inflation reaches an appropriate level. In addition, the Eurozone's economic and inflation forecasts for 2020 have been raised, which is the first increase since the European Central Bank started its easing policy at the beginning of the year.
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ddd -rd/ ----d European Central Bank President Draghi said on Thursday that the European Central Bank will pay close attention to the inflation outlook and be ready to respond if necessary. using all available tools while emphasizing the need for patience until economic stimulus measures take effect.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Despite the recent sharp rise in oil prices, economists at the European Central Bank only slightly adjusted their inflation expectations for this year and maintained Inflation expectations for 2018 and 2020 remain unchanged. This means policymakers may need to take further stimulus measures to lift inflation to the % target.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Draghi said at a press conference after the policy meeting that we will not hesitate to take action.
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ddd -rd/ ----dDraghi said that despite the relatively weakening demand for euro zone exports from developing countries, the euro zone economy is still likely to grow in the future. The recovery has continued for several quarters, although the pace of recovery may be slower compared to the first three months of this year. But he noted signs of recovery in inflationary pressures were not clear. We still do not see substantial pressure on wage and price-setting mechanisms, with the possible exception of Germany.
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ddd -rd/ ----d In the first three months of this year, the European Central Bank's annual economic growth rate was .%. U.K.
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ddd -rd/ ----dDraghi also pointed out that if euro area governments strengthen necessary economic reforms, the European Central Bank will more easily achieve the inflation target. . As the pace of structural reforms accelerates, our measures will have faster effects.
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ddd -rd/ ----dDraghi said that one of the risks to future expectations is the Brexit referendum that the UK will hold on October 1. He called on British voters to support remaining in the euro zone but said the ECB was ready to accept any outcome.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Draghi did not make a clear commitment to further stimulus actions in the future. He said now we must focus on implementation and the effects of the measures we have taken.
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ddd -rd/ ----dDraghi said that one of the risks to future expectations is the Brexit referendum that the UK will hold on October 1. He called on British voters to support remaining in the euro zone but said the ECB was ready to accept any outcome. The UK and the Eurozone are mutually beneficial. The UK should stay in the EU because the EU will benefit in the long term and we believe the UK will also benefit.
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ddd -rd/ ----d In addition, Draghi also pointed out that the ECB Board of Governors has discussed the possibility of once again accepting Greek government bonds as collateral. This will allow Greek banks to no longer rely on Greek banks with lower-cost funds from the European Central Bank, thereby helping to reduce the pressure on the country's banking industry and restore market confidence. But he stressed that before such a decision could be made, the Greek government needed to take action to fulfill its commitments to international creditors.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Data released by data processing company D on Thursday showed that the D employment report, known as the small non-agricultural sector, showed that the U.S. Month D employment increased by .00,000 people in line with expectations. The previous value of 10,000 people was revised to an increase of .0000 people. The initial value of 10,000 people increased by .0000 people. U.S. monthly employment growth increased moderately. Today's report suggests the job market is showing signs of stabilizing after an unexpected slowdown last month.
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ddd -rd/ ----dD Employment Data Company Vice President Says Job Growth Appears to Slow Down in 2020 A challenging global environment affects The tightening labor market for large companies hiring skilled workers is a major factor in the employment slowdown. As a forward-looking indicator of non-farm employment data, the stabilization and rebound of D employment numbers may have a certain positive impact on the monthly non-farm employment report released on Friday (May 1).
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ddd -rd/ ----d In addition, data released by the U.S. Department of Labor showed that the number of initial jobless claims in the United States unexpectedly fell to . The estimated number is 10,000. The initial claims data has been below the 10,000 mark for consecutive weeks, the longest consecutive period since the beginning of the year. However, the overall number of initial claims in the month was slightly higher than in the previous month. This was mainly due to the month-long company strike. Although the overall U.S. job market remains strong, this The strike may still affect the non-farm payroll data released on Friday.
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ddd -rd/ ----d The U.S. Department of Labor is scheduled to release its monthly employment report at 1:00 a.m. Beijing time. The market expects monthly non-farm employment growth. Ten thousand people increase every month. Ten thousand people.
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ddd -rd/ ----d Based on the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy meeting and the remarks of Fed Chairman Yellen and other voting committees and non-voting committee members Judging from the good economic data, the possibility of a monthly interest rate hike cannot be ruled out.
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ddd -rd/ ----d The latest Fed meeting minutes indicate that most Fed officials currently believe that if U.S. economic data continues to improve in the second quarter, then It is appropriate to start the interest rate hike policy every quarter. At the same time, Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen’s speech last Friday (July 2) also confirmed this.
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ddd -rd/ ----d In a speech at Harvard University last Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen said that if economic data improves, interest rates will be raised in the next few months. It's probably appropriate. Yellen's comments that it would be appropriate to raise interest rates in the coming months surprised financial markets. Expectations for interest rate hikes in the months when the US dollar fluctuated upward continued to be boosted.