Anhui Hanyin Commodity Trading Center

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Deutsche Bank pointed out in the report that in order to avoid a further increase in the U.S. bond default rate, Deutsche Bank hopes that the Federal Reserve can adopt more moderate easing policy measures, including suspending interest rate increases or even restarting the interest rate cut cycle, so as to continue to depreciate the dollar, thereby driving up oil prices and mitigating the Pressure on crude oil company balance sheets.
The problem for investors, Laidler added, is that there are now few signs that the Fed wants to change its monetary policy. Last week, data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that U.S. companies were hiring 10,000 jobs each month, up from 10,000 on a monthly basis. The seemingly upbeat data could put the Fed on the path to further rate hikes this year after deciding to do so after last month's meeting. However, Fed Chair Yellen's speech at a congressional hearing still revealed a more cautious tone.
Since the beginning of the year, global stock markets have begun to experience turmoil. The pan-European index fell by 1%, while S&P pointed out that it fell by nearly %, marking the worst start to the year since the financial crisis in 2008. In particular, questions about the balance sheet status of the banking industry are rampant, and for example, Deutsche Bank's share price has been at the forefront of the European stock sell-off.
Laidler added that a comprehensive default cycle on U.S. bonds will cause European stock markets to fall further by 2%, but will also increase the risk of the U.S. economy falling into recession. He believes rising debt defaults will cause companies to spend less on investment and hiring. He added that lower stock prices would also encourage people to save more, thus weakening consumption growth.