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Urbanization means that more rural people will move to cities. It is estimated that for every rural population that moves to a city, its energy consumption level will double. At the same time, the extensive use of energy-intensive products such as steel and cement in urbanization will also drive energy demand. Therefore, the urbanization process will cause my country's energy demand to continue to grow rapidly for a considerable period of time.
At present, the total base of my country's energy consumption is not low. From 2010 to 2017, my country's energy consumption accounted for 1.5% of the world's total, rapidly rising from 1.2% to 2.5%, surpassing the United States to become the world's largest energy producer and consumer. According to preliminary calculations of figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics, my country's total energy consumption reaches 1.0 billion tons of standard coal per year.
Not only is the total amount of energy large, but our country's unit energy consumption is also very high, which is three times that of Japan, three times that of the United States, and even three times that of Indonesia.
According to Zhang Xiaode, deputy director of the Economics Department of the National Academy of Administration, if China does not break away from the traditional high-input, high-consumption urbanization and industrialization development model, when China’s economic aggregate reaches or approaches the United States, existing energy sources will simply not be able to support it. .
High energy consumption is not only a resource problem, but also brings environmental problems. Ai Feng, president of the Ai Feng Economic Development Research Institute and chairman of the board of supervisors of the China New Energy Chamber of Commerce, believes that urbanization will inevitably stimulate an increase in total energy consumption and emissions. Even if unit emissions decline, total emissions may still not fall. Therefore, if my country's new urbanization construction does not deal with the big issue of energy in advance and does not fundamentally adjust and optimize the energy structure, China's environmental problems may become more serious.
First of all, the urbanization process is also part of the industrialization process. Industrialization itself consumes more energy than traditional agriculture and brings greater environmental and ecological pressure. Secondly, the agglomeration of population in cities and towns will create new environmental and ecological problems. Ai Feng added that in rural areas where the population is dispersed, the garbage and wastewater from one household may not cause a big problem. But in cities and towns, the garbage and wastewater from tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands of households are concentrated, and the emissions from various energy consumption The concentration of pollutants will have a huge impact on the environment.
The 18th National Congress proposed the concept of Beautiful China. In fact, Beautiful China is more difficult to realize than Rich China, especially in cities and towns composed of cement forests. Ai Feng believes that the urbanization process cannot circumvent the hard constraints of energy and environment. If this issue is not solved, the new urbanization process may be stuck, and Beautiful China will be just an idea on paper.
In the process of urbanization, new energy sources should reduce fossil energy as much as possible and increase the share of clean energy.
Urbanization not only brings challenges to energy and the environment, but also brings rare opportunities to adjust and optimize the energy structure. Many experts agree on this.
At present, my country's primary energy consumption is dominated by fossil energy, mainly coal, oil, and natural gas. This will bring about two major problems. First, fossil energy is a one-time energy source, which is used less and less. In addition, except for coal, my country has insufficient oil and natural gas resources, and its dependence on foreign countries will become increasingly large. Second, fossil energy, especially Coal, which accounts for more than % of the total, inevitably produces emissions during consumption, causing environmental pressure. However, my country's current environmental pressure is close to the limit. % of the city's air quality does not meet standards, and smog affects more than half of China.
Ai Feng believes that in order to untie the two major constraints of energy and environment, adjust and optimize the energy structure, the fundamental way out is to use a large amount of clean renewable energy to replace fossil energy, and the urbanization process is precisely to accelerate this adjustment. Best opportunity.
First of all, new urbanization construction is a good opportunity to promote new energy on a large scale. With the process of urbanization, there will definitely be a large number of new urban areas and new buildings. Newly built towns and new urban areas should pay attention to the adjustment of energy structure from the beginning and base energy consumption more on new energy. This will greatly promote the development of new energy industries and gradually change my country's energy pattern. Ai Feng said that it is easier to draw a blueprint on a blank piece of paper than on an old drawing. He took the application of solar energy as an example. If in urbanization construction, the layout planning of photovoltaic building integration is adopted from the beginning, it will be much easier than the renovation of old urban buildings.