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The data this time is unexpectedly low As expected, the performance was once again blinding. The employment data in the United States was almost a roller coaster, with a huge difference between good and bad. After this data was lower than expected and lower than the previous value, expectations for a monthly interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve were lowered, and gold fell sharply to the first line. However, Teacher Yi Xiao believes that non-agricultural employment will only delay the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, but it does not mean that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates this year. interest rates, the possibility of a monthly interest rate hike is greatly enhanced. Therefore, Yi Xiao believes that in the long run, gold's surge is only a short-term effect, and it will retreat again after non-agricultural profits are strong.
The reason for the surge is bullish non-agricultural data.
The U.S. monthly seasonally adjusted non-farm employment population announced tonight increased by .00,000 people, which was expected to be .000,000 people. The previous value was revised upward from . After the release of non-agricultural data, gold and silver rose in the short term, while the U.S. index fell. Reuters commented that dragged down by the decline in employment in the manufacturing and construction industries, the U.S. monthly non-farm payrolls fell short of expectations, ending two consecutive months of strong gains. Although the unemployment rate remained unchanged at .%, this was basically This eliminates the possibility of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month, but the positive performance of non-farm payrolls in the previous two months still leaves the possibility for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this month.
The second reason for the surge was the intervention of a large number of buying orders.
The most active month of the gold futures contract was fully traded (approximately 100 million U.S. dollars in buying orders) at the moment when the non-farm payrolls announcement was announced in Beijing time. A large number of buying orders pushed the spot gold price up by more than the U.S. dollar.
Tan Yixiao concluded that in the face of big non-agricultural market conditions, we still have to be cautious in going long and wait for the data to come out before placing an order. We must not take the order with us to compete for the data. You must standardize the operation, bring a good stop loss, follow the teacher's pace closely, and control the risk to a minimum. You can test the water with one order, and follow the trend with the second order, so that the profit can be amplified to the highest several times! Of course, Yi Xiao also reminded everyone in his previous article that if prudent investors can give up the impact of the non-agricultural night on the gold market and choose to wait and see or intervene after the impact of the non-agricultural shock on the market is over, this is also a good idea. For customers with small funds and customers with heavy lock-in positions, they can choose to wait and see before taking advantage of the trend to place orders. I wonder how everyone is doing?
Gold trend analysis and non-agricultural market outlook operation
Technical analysis: The daily chart touches the mid-rail pressure. It is difficult to break the level after the first touch, and the space has diverged by nearly US dollars. The range of non-agricultural employment is also about the same, and the space is released. There is a greater chance that it may fluctuate next. Fight for the closing of the daily line, and close above the daily line, which will be more resistant to decline in the short term. Yi Xiao believes that next week it may inertially test the highs and then fall back, but it is not appropriate to chase the highs again tonight. Personally, I feel that the space is limited, and there are double resistances. Even if the remaining temperature rises, it will still be difficult to reach a narrow limit. However, the rising data has made the space wider, and it is not easy to fall directly tonight. It may enter a high level and fluctuate. Therefore, in terms of operation, Yixiao recommends operating around the interval.
Recommendations for spot gold operation in the agricultural market
. For short orders, it is recommended to go short on the first line of rebound, stop loss, and target
. For long orders, it is recommended to retrace and go long, stop loss, and target
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