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The Bank of England has stated that it will keep interest rates unchanged until after the Brexit referendum. The country will release first-quarter data next Wednesday (May 3), becoming the first country to release this data this year.
The Bank of England said that the uncertainty of the outcome of the referendum on October 1 and the headwinds caused by the poor conditions in many emerging markets have affected the British economy.
In addition, British consumption is showing signs of weakness. Consumers, who have been buoyed by record employment levels, near-zero inflation and rising wages over the past three years, have helped drive economic growth, but consumption fell .% in May from the previous month.
New Zealand
The Federal Reserve Bank of New Zealand will release an interest rate decision next Thursday. The current market consensus is that the Federal Reserve Bank of New Zealand will maintain the official cash rate unchanged at .%. Nomura Securities said that the New Zealand Federal Reserve's monthly interest rate decision will be a dilemma, and it is very likely to wait and see until the end of the month; and considering that the interest rate decision is approaching, risk appetite clearly supports shorting the New Zealand dollar.
However, JP Morgan estimates that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rates to .%, while Capital Economics estimates that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut the cash rate to .% in the third quarter.
Japan
The Bank of Japan will issue a decision next Thursday. Although this meeting is not that long since the last time the bank unexpectedly relaxed policy, the yen has strengthened due to the country's sluggish economic data. Another severe earthquake occurred in Japan, jeopardizing policymakers' expectations that a moderate economic recovery will lead to rising inflation. Some people have believed that the Bank of Japan may further loosen policy.
If the Bank of Japan does take action, the chance of increasing the scale of asset purchases may be higher than the chance of cutting interest rates for the second time in four months. Japan is increasingly likely to use both fiscal and monetary policies.
A Shanghai Huatong Platinum analyst said: &;Although the possibility of the Federal Reserve taking action next week is very low, the Bank of Japan will certainly do so on Thursday. Our current expectation is that the Bank of Japan will ease policy again later this year, but there is a risk that it may do so sooner.
In addition, central banks that may consider interest rate adjustments in the next few days include Brazil, Russia and Hungary.