Baishan Weiye Information-Beware of dramatic changes in silver prices!

The U.S. Federal Reserve followed a period of quantitative easing with the mantra that they wanted to normalize interest rates. Generally speaking, the Fed has two goals: first, to ensure that unemployment falls, and second, that inflation rises. Both of these requirements have been fulfilled to a large extent, so the expectation is that interest rates will be raised several times this year to implement the normalization plan. The reality is that there haven't been any rate hikes yet, but we've heard a lot of talk suggesting one. People are tired of hearing the Fed's argument now,
because the federal government's credibility has been tarnished. The next meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee will be held on January 1, 2020, and the market is more or less convinced that there will be no interest rate hike in September. However, just as their previous guidance was of no use, this time it may be close to the mark. We expect the Fed to signal that a rate hike is almost certain, and the market will listen and position accordingly. I personally doubt that they will actually raise interest rates, because they have not shown any intention to raise interest rates either in the monthly employment data or in the monthly employment data.
If we assume a rate hike in March, it will almost certainly cause the dollar to appreciate, which in turn will hinder gold and silver from moving higher. We also need to consider the depreciation of other major currencies, helping the U.S. dollar move higher and the U.S. dollar index close. So the question we debate is whether the dollar’s inverse relationship with precious metals like silver is here to stay.
From a recent perspective, the inverse relationship between the two is not obvious. When the U.S. dollar rose sharply last week, silver has always held firm at the support level and has not fallen sharply. Instead, it has shown strong resilience. . Three weeks later, the U.S. dollar index encountered resistance and fell back, causing the price of silver to surge.
The U.S. dollar has been in the overbought range for some time, so it needs a relatively large correction, which may last until the Federal Reserve interest rate decision in March. In other words, silver continues to be bullish, supported by a pullback in the U.S. dollar ahead of the monthly resolution.
After the Federal Reserve raises interest rates as scheduled in March, the US dollar is bound to rise sharply, but by then the price of silver is already at a high level, and its decline is also expected to be a correction. When these news come to light, it will be like after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in March. Silver experienced a sharp decline and immediately reversed its decline.
We look forward to the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates as soon as possible, because once the interest rates are raised, it means that the market's short-term negative effects have been exhausted, and it will be the time for buying to recover.
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