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& Qingdao International Nonferrous Metals Trading Center, phone QQ: recruiting members, agents, account opening, investment, high rebate Qingdao International Platform Information: The U.S. Department of Labor will release the monthly non-agricultural employment report. This non-agricultural employment report can be said to be extremely important, mainly Because on the one hand, the data may have a crucial impact on the Federal Reserve (D) raising interest rates in March; on the other hand, the two U.S. presidential candidates are also eyeing this employment report, which may become a heavy weapon on election day. , has an important impact on the election.
The recent rise in Trump’s approval rating has reduced the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates every month. If the non-farm payrolls report again falls short of expectations or is unusually weak, it may have a major impact on the monthly rate hike plan. In addition, the non-farm payrolls report can also have an impact. Voters' views on the economic outlook will have an impact on the presidential election. For Trump, whose approval rating is slightly behind, a bad non-agricultural report may be what he wants to see.
Wall Street's median expectation for this non-farm report shows that the overall non-farm employment population change: increased. The previous value increased. The unemployment rate: .% The previous value. % Average hourly wage monthly rate: increased. % The previous value increased by .%. The average hourly wage annual rate: increased by .%. The previous value increased by .%. The average weekly working hours:. The previous value:. The change in manufacturing employment population: decreased by .000 people. The previous value decreased by .0000 people.
Wall Street's median expectation for this non-farm report shows that the overall non-farm employment population change: increased. The previous value increased. The unemployment rate: .% The previous value. % Average hourly wage monthly rate: increased. % The previous value increased by .%. The average hourly wage annual rate: increased by .%. The previous value increased by .%. The average weekly working hours:. The previous value:. The change in manufacturing employment population: decreased by .000 people. The previous value decreased by .0000 people.
Trump previously called the monthly non-farm payrolls report a product of the failed economic policies of Hillary Clinton ( ) and President Obama (Br b).
He said at the time: Is this the last non-agricultural report before the election? If so, I should win easily. This report is so bad. Obviously, if the latest monthly non-farm payrolls report falls short of expectations again, we are likely to hear Trump's attacks again.
Br, a well-known financial website (blog, Weibo), said that if the monthly non-farm payrolls report is better than expected, it will be beneficial to Hillary. Both candidates will use the report as fresh electoral leverage.
Although Democratic presidential candidate Hillary still has a higher approval rating than Republican presidential candidate Trump, the gap between the two narrowed after B announced the reopening of the Hillary email investigation last Friday.
The outside world originally thought that Hillary would be a sure winner, but now with Trump chasing after her, the prospects for the US presidential election have become highly uncertain.
If Trump is elected president, it will undoubtedly be a black swan for the financial market. Outsiders believe that Trump's election will make the U.S. economic outlook more uncertain, and the Fed's monthly probability will also decline.
Many economists rated the last nonfarm payrolls report as moderate, not terrible. Although the unemployment rate rose to %, it was largely due to more people starting to look for work. This, in turn, caused the employment participation rate to rise.
Senior economist Br pointed out that the stable unemployment rate and rising employment participation rate indicate that previously frustrated workers are starting to look for work again.
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