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After consecutive days of decline, the market began to panic, and last week's non-agricultural data became the main trigger. Expectations that the United States will begin to reduce QQ at the end of this year have increased due to much better-than-expected data, leading to a strong wait-and-see mood in the market. However, after the gold price fell back rationally, it did not receive effective support from low-level funds, resulting in a weak rise, thus making it safe for a further downward trend.
As the Indian government increased gold taxes this year, which suppressed the demand for gold in India this year, people thought that the high amount of gold and consumption was really difficult, so they reduced their purchases, which also led to a sharp decline in physical demand. Although China has become the largest consumer of gold this year, demand in the third quarter did not increase significantly due to a dip-buying craze in this month. Therefore, without physical support in the market, the trend of gold and silver will inevitably be affected, and the market's focus will once again return to U.S. monetary policy. In the latest trading day, spot gold has fallen by more than % and has been below the US dollar for two consecutive trading days. However, traders said that although gold prices have fallen below the U.S. dollar, physical gold buying in Asia has not strengthened significantly. It is expected that only when gold prices fall below the U.S. dollar will some buyers be attracted to the market. Analysts at ANZ said there would still be plenty of price movement, but there was no sign of a big increase in physical demand. On the downside, the market is focused on the USD/oz level, and once this level is exceeded, gold prices will continue to fall to USD/oz. ANZ believes that the resistance point for rising gold prices is US dollars per ounce. BNP Paribas on Monday raised its gold price forecast for the end of this year to US dollars per ounce, but lowered its annual forecast to US dollars per ounce. M, chief strategist and former director of the U.S. Mint, believes that although gold prices are currently falling, some Asian investors' intensified holdings of physical gold may affect supply and cause gold prices to rise again. It can be seen that the current trend has brought short-term bullishness back to the short camp again. Everyone is waiting for a better low to enter the market, but the market often gives us unexpected moves. If market capital is gathering, I believe we will soon see a reversal in the market. Therefore, it is recommended that we should not be optimistic and wait for the arrival of a lower point, but should rationally place multiple orders to participate, and wait for further processing after the market rebounds.
Today’s recommendation: Long orders nearby, lose, look, hold if passed. Personal suggestions are for reference only
Domestic silver: Long orders nearby, loss, look, over hold.
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