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On Wednesday, with the United States The election is finally settled. However, during the period when the results were coming out, the financial market performed extremely crazy. U.S. stock futures and Asian stock markets once plummeted by nearly %, the U.S. dollar index plummeted by nearly %, the Mexican peso once plummeted by more than % against the U.S. dollar, and the Japanese yen and precious metals that enjoy safe-haven properties and other assets have skyrocketed. However, after entering the European and American markets, the market began to move in the opposite direction, with the stock market and the US dollar rebounding, and safe-haven assets also falling.
Take Qingdao International Nonferrous Silver as an example: At the beginning of the Asian market on Thursday, spot Qingdao International Nonferrous was trading at US$/ounce. The Asian market had recorded a rise of more than US$0.00 overnight. However, after Trump gave a speech to calm the market After the sentiment, gold prices gave up all gains during the European and American sessions. At the same time, spot silver also briefly exceeded the US$/ounce mark on Wednesday, but then gave up most of its gains and closed slightly around US$/oz.
Take Qingdao International Nonferrous Silver as an example: At the beginning of the Asian market on Thursday, spot Qingdao International Nonferrous was trading at US$/ounce. The Asian market had recorded a rise of more than US$0.00 overnight. However, after Trump gave a speech to calm the market After the sentiment, gold prices gave up all gains during the European and American sessions. At the same time, spot silver also briefly exceeded the US$/ounce mark on Wednesday, but then gave up most of its gains and closed slightly around US$/oz.
It is worth noting that with Trump unexpectedly winning the election, Qingdao International Nonferrous Metals’ trading volume on Wednesday was rare in history. The trading volume of Qingdao International Nonferrous Futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange exceeded the high point after the Brexit referendum in March, second only to the surge in trading volume caused by the collapse of gold prices in March.
Trump’s election means uncertainty for the market. Most analysts believe that Trump's anti-trade and tax policies will push the U.S. economy to the brink of recession, which is a huge risk for the market.
m Macro Fund Manager commented via email that the initial reaction of financial markets after Trump was elected President of the United States may be completely reversed in the coming weeks or months.
said the key unknown is whether Trump will seek to make good on his anti-trade, anti-China and anti-Mexico policies as president. As president, Trump may not be able to say what he wants as he did during the campaign, so his bizarre policies such as building a border wall and provoking a trade war may not be implemented, even if the Republican Party controls the Senate. Predictably, the market's initial reaction to Trump's chances of victory was shock and fear, as prices for traditional risk assets fell and safe-haven assets climbed. However, heightened expectations for tax cuts and policies to support economic growth, aided and supported by Republicans' sweeping victories in Congress, have caused some of the initial reactions to begin to reverse, said H, a manager at BRM fixed income fund.
Analysis by Qingdao International Nonferrous Mining Company, a subsidiary of Reuters, believes that although Qingdao International Nonferrous Metals rose sharply after Trump's victory, it encountered strong resistance and retreated. M analysts said that now we need to look to the future and look ahead to the uncertainty surrounding the economy and politics. The tone of Trump's speeches after his election was more normal, so the market still needs guidance before calming down.
The analyst also predicts that there will be further shocks in the short term, and risk aversion will drive gold prices to rise further. In the long term, the outlook is unclear, but overall there is still potential for an overall rise. At present, the market wants to buy at low prices, but does not want to push up the price of gold. In addition, long-term factors supporting Qingdao International Nonferrous Metals include fiscal deficit and inflation expectations.
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