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', , h > Today's financial market is in a state of extreme volatility, and any market situation may occur. Gansu Xirui Bulk Precious Metals Trading Asphalt, Fuel Hydrocarbons, Silver, Copper, Consulting QQ
Now predict the short-term trend of gold prices and Not wise. In addition, if investors think that interest rate hikes on spot exchanges are the number one killer of gold prices, they are totally wrong. For precious metals, there are many factors that affect the rise and fall of their prices, the most famous of which is the relationship between the U.S. dollar index and the price of gold. Many market analysts believe that there is a strong correlation between the price of Treasury bonds on spot exchanges, or the level of interest rates, and the price of gold. This theory that is considered common sense is: when the price of government bonds falls and interest rates rise, investors will flood into the government bond market, hold high-return U.S. dollars, and then sell off spot investments.
In March, the price of Treasury bonds on the spot exchange began to enter a downward channel, and after Trump was elected president of the spot exchange, the price of government bonds on the spot exchange began to decline. This accelerated the decline in its price, with the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds on the spot exchange once rising above %, hitting the highest level since January. But does this mean gold prices will fall? According to the h trading column, there is absolutely no need for gold prices to fall. After all, gold prices are more closely related to real interest rate expectations than to nominal interest rate expectations. Under this view, spot investments should be correlated with inflation-adjusted Treasury bond prices, rather than nominal Treasury bond prices.
Spot exchange inflation bonds are a summary of a variety of inflation-adjusted spot exchange Treasury bonds over different periods. On March 1, when CME's spot-exchange Treasury bond prices fell more than 1.0%, spot-exchange inflation bonds fell just .%. This means that when interest rates rise, inflation expectations also rise. Moreover, the yields on inflation bonds on the spot exchange did not rise as crazily as the nominal Treasury bond yields on July 1. If investors really want to judge the trend of gold prices based on the rise and fall of Treasury bond yields on spot exchanges, then it would be better to focus on inflation bond yields than on nominal interest rates. In summary, the Financial Column believes that inflation-tracking bond prices are more effective than nominal Treasury bond prices as a precursor to spot investment prices.
So from now on, what will be the future trend of spot investment? The financial column believes that it is very foolish to predict short-term gold prices now. After all, today's financial market is in an extremely volatile state, and any market situation may happen. However, investors do not need to be too pessimistic about the future trend of gold prices. Considering that the real interest rates on spot exchanges and many other countries are still in negative ranges, this will be the basis for supporting the rise of gold prices in the long term.