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Xirui Commodity Trading Center, phone QQ: recruiting members, agents, account opening, investment, high rebates, main business: silver, crude oil, copper, asphalt, spot investment and investment. All market focus is now turning to Yellen's speech to confirm her colleagues' recent statements that the Federal Reserve is still on track to raise interest rates every month.
After the last meeting, officials said they were close to raising interest rates and just needed slightly more evidence that the economy was improving to take action next month. She is likely to point to some of the indicators the Fed has received since its meeting on May 1st and 2020: steady job gains in March, year-on-year wage growth at the fastest pace since October, and healthy growth in consumer spending at retail stores this fall.
Second. Election
Before the March meeting, several officials expressed concerns about market volatility after the election. Trump's victory shocked many investors, but stocks rose on hopes that the new administration's policies would accelerate economic growth, pick up inflation and raise interest rates more quickly. Still, lawmakers may want to hear Yellen's view on market reaction after the election, which would include an increase in government debt.
Third. Trump
Yellen may be asked about the potential impact on the economy of Trump's proposed fiscal policies, which include plans to increase infrastructure spending and cut tax rates. While the Fed is typically reluctant to comment on legal issues, there is a history of Fed chairs signaling approval of fiscal stimulus. Fed officials have made clear in recent years that they need Congress to help stimulate further economic growth.
But some officials warned that the surge in spending could force Fed officials to raise interest rates sooner than currently expected.
4. Inflation Firms
Republicans on Capitol Hill have complained for years that the Federal Reserve’s loose monetary policy could push inflation to dangerous levels, but price increases have remained subdued. Recent signs of tightening inflation may give Republican lawmakers a new opportunity to put pressure on the Federal Reserve's low interest rate policy. Fed officials said in a statement at their March meeting that inflation had increased since earlier this year.
They also pointed out that some investors' expectations for future inflation have increased, but are still low. Yellen on Thursday is likely to provide new insight into how officials view the risk of a sharp rise in inflation.
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