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Thursday is a trading day with relatively high data this week, but judging from a series of data such as initial jobless claims and Draghi’s speech, there are mixed results. The U.S. economic data is still good, and the U.S. index The upward trend has resumed, while the performance of the Eurozone economy still worries the market, weighing on the euro. After the price of gold and silver fluctuated downwards, they rebounded slightly in late New York trading hours, regained lost ground, and eventually both received Yang Doji stars.
Judging from the data released the next day, the monthly rate of increase in U.S. retail sales expanded to 10,000, which is expected to increase. The previous value increased, and the monthly rate of increase in core retail sales expanded to 10,000. , expected to be an increase of 10,000 people, and the previous value was an increase of 10,000 people. In sharp contrast, the scale of the European Central Bank's second round of R subscription was less than expected. News released by the European Central Bank during the day showed that the second round of long-term refinancing operations amounted to 100 million euros, which was expected by the market to be 100 million euros. The demand for this round of R is higher than the nearly 100 million euros in the previous round of operations in mid-month, but the subscription scale is still far less than market expectations, which increases the market's expectations that the European Central Bank will soon increase its easing efforts through other means in the future.
There is still not much news guidance on Friday and Sunday. During the European session, investors mainly focused on the Eurozone's seasonally adjusted employment numbers and monthly industrial output data for the third quarter. The euro zone economy has been showing signs of weakness recently, and I believe that if the data is weak again, the exchange rate of the euro against the dollar is expected to fall further. During the New York session, investors focused on two important data released by the United States, the monthly rate and the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index. Recent good U.S. data have once again supported the dollar and ended the dollar's downward adjustment trend. We will have to wait and see whether Friday's U.S. data can bring support to the dollar again.
Spot Silver Situation Analysis
Silver prices still continued to fluctuate and consolidate, opening the next morning at yuan/kg. After the opening, the Asian trading session refreshed the intraday high to yuan/kg, and then fell back under pressure. The US dollar On the eve of the opening of the market, it refreshed the intraday low to yuan/kilogram, and finally closed at yuan/kilogram. The daily line closed another Yang Doji star. Judging from the daily line, the first four trading days of this week all received positive lines, and the bulls clearly had the upper hand. However, after receiving the doji for two consecutive trading days, we once again faced a direction choice in the short term. Bollinger opened upward, and the moving averages were arranged by bulls. It crosses above to form a golden cross with heavy volume. The indicator in the attached picture is golden cross with heavy volume, running in the overbought zone, and moving flat near. I believe that the bulls on the daily line are dominant. From an hourly perspective, the silver price surged at the beginning of the week and then remained at a high level and consolidated. Bollinger Still opening upward, the middle rail formed support nearby, and then moved flat after being bonded. The golden cross of the indicator in the attached picture bonded after the energy attenuated. The stochastic indicator hooked up and ran below in the oversold zone, and R turned under pressure nearby. The head is running downward. I believe that the hourly trend shows a strong shock trend. From the hourly perspective, after the silver price consolidation, Bollinger tightened its mouth and moved flat. The moving average converged and ran nearby. The energy of the dead cross of the indicator in the attached picture was attenuated, and the bonding It is trending flat, the high turning heads converge and diverge downward, R converges and flattens nearby, I believe that the hourly line shows a volatile trend. Overall, after the silver price rose, it remained consolidated near the high of nearly one month, and the short-term indicators once again stabilized. Facing the choice of direction, although there is not much news guidance this week, on the last trading day, I remind investors that they still need to take precautions against risks. Pay attention to / for pressure above and / for support below.
Suggestions for spot silver operations
Still maintained in the range, sell at a high level and sell at a low level, stop loss at yuan, target at yuan
Silver price falls below and rebound/sell, stop at an upper limit, target at a lower level
/>Suggestions for spot gold operations
After closing in the negative territory on the previous trading day, the gold price showed a trend of first declining and then rising the next day, and finally successfully counterattacked and collected a small positive line. The next morning, the gold price opened at US$/oz. After the opening, the gold price rose slightly, setting a new intraday high to US$/oz. Then it fell back under pressure. During the US trading session, it refreshed the intraday low to US$/oz. It rebounded slightly in the late trading period and once stood at the same level. On the pass, it finally closed at yuan/kilogram, and finally closed on a small positive star with a long lower shadow. Judging from the daily line, the closing pattern of the first four trading days of this week is three yang and one yin, with bulls taking the lead. After the gold price rose, it maintained a high level of consolidation. Bollinger still opened slightly upward, and the moving average converged and diverged upward, showing a bullish arrangement. , the indicator golden cross in the attached picture is increasing again, the red kinetic energy is attenuating, the aggregation is running nearby, and the R is running flat above. I think the daily bulls are dominant. From an hourly perspective, the gold price tested under pressure twice, and then fluctuated downwards in the late trading period. It rebounded, crossed below to form a dead cross with heavy volume, and then moved flat. Bollinger began to shrink. The indicator in the attached picture was a high dead cross with heavy volume, and R was a hook at a low level. It converged and trended flat near the top, and the hook moved upward. I think it will appear in the hour. Judging from the hourly trend of strong shock, the gold price fell back the next day, once testing near the lower Bollinger Band, and then rebounded after finding support. The Bollinger still trended flat, the moving average hooked upward at the low level, and converged to move flat near the vicinity. The indicator in the attached picture is the golden cross. Negative value and large volume, low hook, running below, R aggregated and flattened below, I believe that the hourly line shows a volatile and strong trend. On the whole, after the monthly and daily gold price rose on Tuesday, it maintained at a high level and consolidated, and the bulls had a clear advantage. However, in order to achieve further gains in the short term, there is lack of sufficient buying momentum. On the last trading day of this week, gold prices are expected to seek to break through the shock. Pay attention to / for pressure above and / for support below.
Suggestions for spot gold operations
During the Asian trading period, the gold price retreats/shorts long, the stop loss is lower, and the target is higher
The upper side initially tests short selling near the area, the stop loss is upper, and the target is lower
/> Today’s Focus
The quarterly rate of employment in the Eurozone was high in the third quarter after seasonally adjustment
The monthly industrial output rate in the Eurozone was high
The monthly rate in the United States was high
The monthly rate in Michigan in the United States was high The initial value of the university consumer confidence index is high
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