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International crude oil prices are getting closer and closer to the US dollar watershed. On Tuesday, crude oil has risen above the US dollar, and Brent crude oil has also reached the level of the US dollar. What ripple effects will occur in the crude oil market once oil prices hit the dollar?
If the oil price in the recent month ( ) rises to USD/barrel, then judging from the premium () curve of the futures, the 3-month crude oil futures price should be around - USD, and the - month crude oil futures price is more likely In the 3-USD range (it is not ruled out that as oil prices continue to rise, oil and gas companies will add positions for hedging at the remote end, causing the premium curve to flatten).
For oil and gas investment and mergers and acquisitions, in the -USD oil price environment, M&A transactions in the oil and gas capital market will be more active than in the 3-USD/barrel oil price environment. This is mainly because when buyers and sellers are in this price range, the buyer's main bid is basically in this range, while the seller's bid is mainly based on the rebound in oil prices as a premium - the US dollar valuation range, which means This has resulted in a huge price gap between buyers and sellers in the oil and gas investment and M&A market. Once the oil price reaches the -USD range, sellers will first want to take the opportunity to divest secondary assets in their asset portfolios as soon as possible in exchange for cash.
The price of silver went up in a small wave during the day, but soon gave up this part of the increase during the European trading session. The current price is around 3, which is also near the opening price in the morning. Overall, the intraday fluctuation range is relatively small. , did not give too many operating opportunities. This was also analyzed by the author in the morning. The price of silver will not change much until the news from the United States comes out. The economic data of the United States will be released in the evening. Silver is still expected to be a negative existence, if the actual situation is in line with expectations, then the market will go lower in the evening. The current support that needs attention below mainly comes from yesterday's low position. Every investment is a scientific analysis, not an emotional game. Every opening and closing of a position is a manifestation of professionalism, not a release of emotions. No matter what you did before, change starts from today, add Wei, Xin, choose The right teacher, the right platform, everything will never be too late
Technically, the silver price has not broken out of the market at the hourly level, but from the daily level, the current silver price needs to break the market, because in the first two days Today has completed the washout and repairs, and one side should break out of the position today. Investors will need to pay attention to the data in the evening. If the data can prompt the silver price to break the position, then the market outlook will be very clear. Before the U.S. market, it is expected that the price of silver will still be difficult to break. It is recommended to maintain the range for trading. The current range is
From the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands open and run upward, and the line breaks through the Bollinger Bands upper limit. The first line is moving near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands, and the lower track of the moving average supports it. The double-line golden cross in the attached picture runs upward, and the red kinetic energy column gradually increases in volume. The upward running trend indicates that the buyer's power is gradually increasing.
Judging from the four-hour chart, the opening of the Bollinger Bands is running upward, and the line runs near the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands. The daily moving average crosses the daily moving average to support the price upwards. The moving average system is arranged in a long position, and the golden cross of the indicator in the attached picture slowly moves upward. The trend is that the red kinetic energy is increasing, and the R indicator is moving upward.
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