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Key support: ././
Today’s recommendation:
The hourly chart has fluctuated downwards since the . line. If it falls below the previous low, the . line will accelerate the decline. Hourly chart. Strong first-line resistance limits the upside potential and increases short-term downside risks. During the day, it is recommended to go short on the first line of . First look and then look again. The stop loss is set on .
Spot gold: Gold is currently expected to further consolidate within the range. On the daily chart, the price of gold is hovering in the Bollinger Bands channel. The D fast and slow lines near the central axis are also glued together near the zero axis. The direction is unclear. Today, consolidation is expected to be the main trend.
According to a survey of the long and short views of all analysts of the Securities Finance Precious Metals Research Team, % of analysts are bearish on today's market, % of analysts are bullish on today's market, and % of analysts have a neutral view on today's market.
Reasons to be bullish: The net long position in gold and silver has soared to a record high. Silver continues to increase positions. The recent US economic data has been generally weak. The US dollar index is at a half-year low.
Reasons for bearishness: Many Fed officials support interest rate hikes and employment data continues to improve
Gold Observation: On Monday (Month), the price of gold rebounded slightly while the U.S. dollar index fell, barely maintaining the USD/oz price. Silver prices fell slightly ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting this week. Commerzbank said in a report that the short-term gold price trend will be determined by the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve’s meeting from Tuesday (July 2) to Wednesday (July 2) is the focus of the market this week. Although the market generally expects that the monthly meeting will not raise interest rates, investors are focusing on the Fed’s latest policy evidence in order to seek clues and guidance from it. The national senior registered gold analyst believes that after the previous rise, the gold price is in a state of correction. Every time the gold price rises to the level of US dollars per ounce, the gold market will take profits, especially when the US dollar rises. And the market outlook needs to pay attention to two major factors: the weakening of the US dollar and the improvement of China's situation.
Crude oil production has resumed rapidly due to crude oil production. The country is even considering further increasing production in March. In addition, there are market rumors that Iraq’s monthly crude oil production will reach a new high. In addition, Bloomberg quoted well-informed sources as reporting that the Saudi state-owned enterprise Saudi Aramco will complete the expansion of the oil field by the end of the month, which will increase the output of the oil field from the current 10,000 barrels per day to 10,000 barrels per day.
EUR/USD
The euro has been trading sideways for four hours. The market is waiting for the Fed’s movements. Technical indicators have not changed much. It is expected that a short-term breakthrough. (cut-in position)-. (cut-in position) is unlikely. .