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, August stocks first rose and then fell. Although the second half of the month was suppressed by the annual line and continued to fluctuate, the Shanghai Stock Index still rose by .% for the whole month. Technically, it showed a three consecutive positive pattern, which triggered people's concern about the gold, silver and silver ten. expectations and reveries. Analysts generally believe that with the stabilization of my country's economy, the convening of the Hangzhou Summit, the postponement of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, and the imminent launch of Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, the stock market, which is fully poised below the annual line, is expected to gradually stabilize. A new round of rebound will begin, and the golden autumn market is worth looking forward to.
, The stabilization of the economy constitutes a positive factor
, the national manufacturing industry
rebounded to .% in March, which was better than the .% expected by the market, returning to the critical point, the highest level in the past month The new high points to a short-term improvement in the manufacturing boom, with demand, production and prices all rebounding. The rebound may be related to the stabilization of real estate, the bottoming out of fixed asset investment, and the rebound in exports. Fixed asset investment is also likely to pick up after months of decline, linked to a pickup in demand for new orders. In addition, the rebound in new export orders indicates that exports are picking up and China's economic turning point has passed. At the same time, the data significantly exceeded expectations, and the stabilization of the economy formed a major support for the stabilization of the stock market, which is important good news.
In fact, it is not difficult to find out from the monthly institutional strategy reports that it is becoming a consensus that the economy is expected to stabilize in the third quarter. Among them, Shanghai Securities said that the economy continued to hover at the bottom in March and showed signs of marginal improvement in the trend. Guolian Securities said that the manufacturing index in March showed some positive signals, but long-term economic growth still faces challenges. Pressure, supply-side structural reform still needs to continue to advance Industrial Securities
Industrial Securities believes that the monthly coal consumption of high-frequency power generation shows that the year-on-year growth rate of power generation may further strengthen. At the same time, data such as high-frequency crude steel output and steel prices show that steel and other industries are growing. The pace may strengthen, which may mean that industrial growth picks up. The good expectations of monthly economic data are expected to become an important support for the monthly stock rebound.
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