- 50:
- 50
- 40:
- 40
- 30:
- 30
Duan Mushen concluded that although crude oil prices have reversed their continuous downward trend since last Friday, expectations of the production freeze meeting and local wars in the Middle East have given crude oil prices a certain boost. However, the production freeze agreement cannot limit production very well. Even if a production limit agreement is reached, crude oil production will still rise in the short term, which will not give a good boost to crude oil prices! It takes time to balance market supply and demand!
In addition, the sharp decrease in inventory in the morning was greatly affected by pipeline leakage. However, although the closure of the US gasoline pipeline was only announced last night, it was closed on the 2nd of the month, and the time to resume operations is today, so the gasoline inventory is very high. Prices will soon recover and drop soon, which will inevitably have a restraining effect on oil prices. Tonight, Mushen believes that the bullish oil price will also rise, but the increase may be limited. You cannot blindly follow orders and follow the trend. During this period, Mushen will monitor the market in real time!
Analysis of the trend before US crude oil data and some layout strategies
Looking at the daily chart, yesterday's closing got a big positive, the overall short trend of the moving average system showed an inflection point trend, and basically formed a Bollinger system. Looking at the indicators, the indicator is running on the cloth The overall trend of the Bollinger System between the middle track and the lower track is running downward. The green kinetic energy column in the attached picture is a dead cross and is gradually shrinking, with the trend of forming a golden cross. The four-hour trend chart shows that the line opened sharply higher and broke above the Bollinger Band upper track due to the impact of data and contract exchange. The Bollinger Band upper track was running upward due to the opening of the Bollinger Band channel that was blocked nearby. The indicator speed line in the attached picture moves upward with a golden cross below the zero axis, and the red kinetic energy column increases significantly; the golden cross moves upward.
Generally speaking, the crude oil price trend is suppressed by the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. If it can successfully break through this point and suppress the bullish trend, it will be no problem. But if there is no breakthrough, then it will fluctuate and fall under the suppression of the middle track. Therefore, today's idea is that Duan Mushen believes that the price will fall back and go long, but the focus is still on the suppression of the upper Bollinger Bands middle rail.-. Whether the position is broken or not is also related to what kind of thinking the crude oil should be laid out next.
Part of the operation strategy of US crude oil:
, Multi-order strategy: -. Nearby multi-order entry and stop loss. US dollar target. Effective breakout near the US dollar. -. In the range, light positions can be pursued to chase long positions and strict stop loss !