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Goldman Sachs’ extreme forecast for the oil market is based on the idea that in order to force the shutdown of loss-making production capacity to accelerate, the oil market may have to experience a price drop to US dollars per barrel.
This idea no longer seems extremely unrealistic. Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Thursday that oil prices have been under pressure so far and downside risks to the dollar per barrel have increased.
On the same day, Brent and crude oil futures fell briefly and hit a new low since the year, close to US dollars per barrel, as Asian markets were turbulent due to the decline of the yuan and China's circuit breaker.
Oil prices falling by as much as 1% are very rare in Asia's usually calm early trading hours, and even senior market observers are now struggling to put an end to the biggest crash in decades.
Bieber of the brokerage said that if U.S. crude oil falls below the support level of .USD per barrel, there will be nothing to prevent oil prices from falling to the mid-dollar. A few minutes later, it fell to .USD, but rebounded slightly toward US dollars per barrel later in the day.
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