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brhhbrh According to the latest data released by the Ministry of Agriculture,
brhhbrh year
brhhbrhMonthly
brhhbrhThe number of live pigs at monitoring points
.
brhhbrh10,000 pigs, an increase from the previous month
.
brhhbrh, a decrease from the same period last year
.
brhhbrhThe number of reproductive sows in stock
.
brhhbrh000, a decrease from last month
.
brhhbrh, a decrease from the same period last year
.
brhhbrh. After the National Day, the price of pigs showed a plummeting trend, which caused great panic in the downstream breeding industry, resulting in a decrease in the number of live pigs and restocking, thereby reducing the demand for domestic soybean meal in the downstream breeding industry. It will be expected after
brhhbrh As the supply of soybean meal increases, the supply of soybean meal will exceed demand, and the impact will even be amplified. It is expected that the price of soybean meal will hardly have any significant upward momentum. Although U.S. soybean futures have continued to strengthen recently, the main reason is that the export of U.S. soybeans is relatively good. It should be noted that U.S. soybeans will arrive in Hong Kong in China soon, which means that it is expected to
brhhbrh China's soybean imports in March were around 10,000 tons. It is expected that domestic soybean imports in 2020 will reach 10,000 tons. In the fourth quarter, domestic soybean supply will change. It must be very sufficient.
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brhhbrhInvestment Department: Manager Liu
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brhhbrhContact
brhhbrhInvestment Department: Manager Liu
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brhhbrh In summary, the US soybean is currently in a rebound pattern, driving domestic The spot price of soybean meal futures follows the rise. At the same time, the supply of soybean meal in major domestic areas is tight.
brhhbrhThe actual arrival volume of domestic soybeans in the middle and early part of the month is small. Most oil plants are in a state of shutdown due to shortage of beans. The spot inventory of soybean meal remains at a low level. Domestic feed mills are actively stocking up before the holiday, and oil mills are trading large volumes. Some mills
brhhbrhThe contract for the month is oversold and difficult to execute at this stage. Oil mills are more willing to support the spot supply of soybean meal, which is good for the trend of soybean meal, but the market rebound is expected to be limited. , due to the strong dollar. At the same time, although U.S. soybean exports are strong, the market will shift its focus to South American soybean planting in the next few weeks. Brazil's soybean planting speed is currently relatively fast, and weather conditions are favorable for soybean planting. Domestic soybean imports at the end of the month
brhhbrh With the increase in arrivals at Hong Kong and the overall flat domestic demand, it is expected that the overall price of soybean meal will turn from strong to weak. The author suggests that market traders and demanders should adopt a purchasing strategy based on buying as they are used.
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brhhbrhInvestment Department: Manager Liu
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