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In the days before the final battle of the most fiercely contested US presidential election in history, the Federal Reserve's policymakers will first be in the global spotlight. Thursday (Sunday) Beijing time: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. The reasons leading investors to believe the Fed will be on hold this time are not limited to the election. The S&P index fell about 1% on the month, its worst month since January this year, while bond yields have risen sharply from summer lows.
At this week's Federal Reserve meeting, the market's focus will be on the signal released by policymakers to raise interest rates this month. Economists say the meeting will be a repeat of last year. That was when the Fed laid the groundwork for its first and so far only rate hike since the financial crisis. % of economists surveyed by the Financial Times believe the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next month. Expectations for a monthly interest rate hike in the federal funds futures market are equally strong.
Br economist Gregory (h) noted that signals from the Federal Reserve have driven repricing in the Treasury market, with yields on U.S. benchmark Treasury notes rising steadily. He pointed out that in her speech at this year's Jackson Hole conference, Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen said that the rise in Treasury yields indicated that the possibility of raising the federal funds rate has increased.
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