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Yesterday, due to the black swan incident of Trump being elected as the US President, short-term market risk aversion surged. Paper silver surged sharply yesterday, and the silver price reached a high, with an increase of more than %. However, the price of silver then fell back after a surge, and finally closed at . yuan/gram. Today's paper silver opened at . yuan, and the current price of paper silver is trading at .
Yesterday, Trump was unexpectedly elected as the President of the United States, triggering huge fluctuations in the financial market and an overall increase in short-term risk aversion. However, due to the relatively mild victory speech he delivered later, market panic decreased.
Given that Trump will not take office until next month, and what policies he will adopt and implement as president, it will take more time to know. The market has gradually returned to calm after experiencing sharp rises and falls.
The focus of attention will undoubtedly turn to the Federal Reserve's monthly interest rate decision. Since the uncertainty after Trump takes office will increase the U.S. economic and political risks, this may trigger expectations that the Federal Reserve will suspend interest rate hikes this month. Changes in this expectation It will become a key factor affecting the trend of precious metals in the coming period.
In the next month’s Federal Reserve decision, investors should not worry about whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates (even if the rate hike comes, after the news comes out, it will be beneficial to the rise of silver prices due to the exhaustion of expectations), but should worry about continued market manipulation. The market has fluctuated repeatedly due to expectations of a monthly interest rate hike. Before the announcement of this news, it is expected that silver prices will be difficult to get out of the trend market.
Therefore, the market still needs more speeches from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and Trump to capture signals about the future Fed monetary policy to guide the market direction.
The investment market may maintain a cautious wait-and-see mood after experiencing sharp rises and falls. Today investors can focus on the evening: the number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the United States will be released on May 1st, and: St. Louis Fed President Bullard's speech on economic and monetary policy.