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Recently, most of the attention surrounding the oil market has focused At the meeting on the serious imbalance between supply and demand and the production freeze. But a major report released by HSBC recently said that this situation will soon be reversed, and the problem will be even greater. The report pointed out that considering the essential characteristics of limited oil quantity, people should pay more attention to the reduction of future supply rather than the current oversupply. The report said that based on the serious oversupply problem in the oil market in the past two years, almost No one thought that there would be a shortage of oil supplies in the future. At present, people's outlook for the future oil market is also focused on the view that policy and technological adjustments may reduce oil demand.
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However, in In our view, the oil market is expected to return to a balance between supply and demand in 2020. However, the remaining energy at that time can only reach % of the total demand. During the year, supply disruptions had a limited impact on the oil market. However, this problem will be much more serious after the oil market returns to balance in 2020. In addition, investment in the energy industry has experienced an unprecedented decline since the year. In the page-long report, analysts examine the current oil market and detail how the world will change in the coming decades as supply declines and demand rises. It can be summarized in the following nine points. By the year of 2020, the oversupply of oil will end and the oil market will return to balance. , spare capacity will be significantly reduced to % of global demand. By then, supply disruptions such as those in Nigeria and Canada will have a greater impact on the oil market.
, crude oil demand is still growing at a rate of about one million barrels per year, and will not peak before the year.
Dalian precious metal investment promotion (Fortune
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