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B', '', . Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen's &;close ally and Federal Reserve Governor Brainard made a high-profile speech in the early hours of Tuesday morning Beijing time. The speech stated that the U.S. economy continues to progress, but it would be wise for the Federal Reserve to continue to maintain loose policies. Brainard's dovish remarks reduced market expectations for interest rate hikes, causing the dollar to dive and gold's decline to ease. The U.S. dollar index fell .% to ., but bottomed out and rebounded after Brainard's speech.
B', '', . This year, voting member Brainard gave a speech on the U.S. economy in Chicago, saying that in view of the potential weakness in the labor market and the risks posed by the economic downturn in the United States abroad, the Federal Reserve must be cautious and should not move too quickly. Remove monetary incentives. Regarding the U.S. labor market, Brainard expressed optimism. She believes there is room for further gains in the labor market with the unemployment rate near .%.
b-: brr-b :. -:b( B', '', However, Brainard has always been regarded as one of the most dovish Fed officials, so some analysts believe that she is more cautious in her stance. The impact on the market will not be too great. Before Brainard’s speech, two other Federal Reserve officials also spoke one after another saying that the Federal Reserve has no urgency to raise interest rates.
b-: brr-b :. -: b( B', '', Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari (r) said on Monday that the problems facing the U.S. economy cannot be solved through monetary policy, so there is no urgent need for the central bank to take action. Atlanta Fed Chairman Lockhart (R) said there is no particular urgency for the Fed to raise interest rates at a particular meeting. He said the Fed should work to better communicate with the outside world, but the Fed is not a servant of financial markets. He noted, It cannot be ruled out that the long-term neutral interest rate may be lower than the level currently expected by the Fed.
b-: brr-b :. -:b( B', '', According to the federal funds rate futures market, traders expect The probability of a monthly interest rate hike has dropped to %, which was % on the previous day; the probability of a monthly interest rate hike is .%, which was .% on the previous day.
b-: brr-b :. -:b( B', '' After Brainard's speech on Monday, international spot gold briefly rose by more than the U.S. dollar, and then fell back higher. The price of gold continued to fluctuate with the speech, with the lowest in the US market hitting .USD/ounce and the highest reaching .USD. /oz.
b-: brr-b :. -:b( B', '', The price of gold futures for monthly delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by .USD, or .%, to close at .USD per ounce, It was the lowest closing price since March. So far, gold prices have closed down for four consecutive trading days. The price of silver futures for delivery in March fell by . cent, or .%, to close at US dollars per ounce, which was also the lowest closing price in more than a week.
b-: brr-b :. -:b( B', '', Judging from the market situation, the current confrontation between the long and short forces of gold is relatively complicated. According to data disclosed by the U.S. Futures Trading Commission last Friday, In the week ending March 31, the net long positions of hedge funds and financial managers in New York gold futures rose to a weekly high. However, the world's largest gold stock again significantly reduced its positions last Friday, with its positions reduced by .% to . .
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