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= brr: r), ,, Song style famous foreign financial website The columnist said that the U.S. dollar returned strongly last week and broke through the monthly resistance level in one fell swoop, which means that further room for the U.S. dollar to rise has been opened, and this has a significant impact on the stock market, crude oil, and precious metals. The following are all the views:
brr: r ) , , , Song Dynasty Last week, the U.S. dollar index rose by more than .%. Previously, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest C meeting showed that the pace of interest rate hikes will accelerate. However, since the Fed's next interest rate decision will be before the U.S. election, the Fed is more likely to raise interest rates in September. However, many investors will ask: With the U.S. dollar index now so strong, will the Fed still be willing to raise interest rates?
brr: r ) , , , Song Dynasty First of all, we have to understand what is the US dollar index? The U.S. dollar index is an indicator that comprehensively reflects the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar in the international foreign exchange market. It is used to measure the exchange rate changes of the U.S. dollar against a basket of currencies. It measures the strength of the U.S. dollar by calculating the combined rate of change of the U.S. dollar and a selected basket of currencies, thereby indirectly reflecting changes in U.S. export competitiveness and import costs. Today, the basket of currencies includes the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona and Swiss franc. These six countries all have strong trade relations with the United States.
brr: r ) , , , Song Dynasty Obviously, the rise of the U.S. dollar index is not entirely due to the strength of the U.S. dollar, but may also be due to the weakness of other currencies that boosted the U.S. dollar index. As we all know, countries such as Europe and Japan have begun to implement negative interest rates, and once the helicopter money mode starts, these currencies will continue to depreciate.
brr: r ) , , , Song Dynasty It can be seen from the US dollar index line chart last week that the US dollar index has broken through the previous wandering range (the range sandwiched by two black trend lines). In this rectangular range During the session, the U.S. Dollar Index experienced a sub-trend reversal, while resistance was around. Today, the U.S. dollar index is located near. The bullish momentum is expected to push the U.S. index to test this mark. Generally speaking, the upper track of the Bollinger Bands is an important mark, and judging from the market chart, the U.S. index has broken through this mark. More importantly, if the Federal Reserve decides to raise interest rates this month, the room for future gains will be unimaginable. Moreover, if the time period is extended to one year, looking at the Fibonacci retracement chart, the target of the US dollar index is nearby.
.So, what does the rise in the US dollar mean for the stock market, crude oil and precious metals? For the stock market, a strong U.S. dollar is a major risk for the stock market, while low oil prices and natural gas prices are the other two major risks for the stock market. As stated in a report by financial data analysis company c, similar to previous quarters, the strong U.S. dollar had a negative impact on the third-quarter financial reports of most companies located in Canada, Mexico, the United Kingdom, Brazil, and South Korea. There are currently not many changes in fundamentals and valuations in the stock market. If the recent selling pressure is mainly caused by the strength of the U.S. dollar, then the gains in stocks will appear sooner or later.