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However, the main reason for the violent market fluctuations is the increasing uncertainty during the election. The market originally had great confidence in Hillary's election, but another result was reflected in the votes. With Trump's election, Reversal, the probability of Hillary winning is getting lower and lower. However, when the winner was announced, the market's sentiment towards the election began to stabilize, and the entire market began to repair itself, with most markets correcting by more than %.
There is no doubt that the election will have an impact on precious metal prices, but last Friday’s non-farm employment data is the key to whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates. This will not only affect the value of the U.S. dollar, but will also dominate the price of precious metals in the post-election period. He also believed it would be more influential than the UK High Court's decision to delay Brexit.
In this way, a blocked Brexit will strengthen the pound and the euro, which will have an impact on the dollar and silver.
The results of the general election will eventually become history, and we will continue to move forward based on the fait accompli of the election results. No matter who is elected, last Friday's employment data is still very important for a monthly interest rate hike.
The failure of significant inflation, tightening Federal Reserve monetary policy, and rising interest rates have strengthened the value of the dollar. This is not to say that inflation is not significant now or will not be significant in the future, but the current level of inflation is considered mild by most people. In this case, the Fed's tightening monetary policy will make the dollar appreciate.
The monthly data immediately following the monthly employment data will be released before M, which determines monthly monetary policy. Therefore, monthly data does not guarantee that interest rates will be raised. There may be a black swan event in the market, or the monthly employment data may be due to some unpredictable events, thus changing expectations for a rate hike in May. Some analysts said that monthly employment growth, .% unemployment rate and rising average hourly wages were all reasons for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates last month. On Friday, the Fed president in Atlanta confirmed the possibility, saying the hurdle for the Fed not taking action in March was high.
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