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With uncertainty remaining high, we maintain our economic growth forecast unchanged. Fiscal stimulus packages pose risks to the upside, while escalating trade protectionism poses downside risks. But in either case, inflation is likely to be higher than before. This is likely also a factor that is helping the inflation breakeven point rise. As a result, expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates have risen sharply. It is currently expected to raise interest rates by 10 basis points before January 2020, which is almost higher than the chance of a complete interest rate hike before the election.
Hz, head of foreign exchange strategy at Nomura Securities, also believes that the U.S. dollar exchange rate, especially the U.S. dollar exchange rate against the euro, will continue to rise. By the end of this year, the euro-dollar exchange rate will fall to... Within the next few months, the dollar and euro are likely to reach parity. He also added that this situation will accelerate with the impact of subsequent European political events on the euro.
However, the U.S. dollar index regaining its lost ground is not good news for the gold and silver market. The gold and silver market suffered a decline on Monday, with spot gold hitting a new low since March 2019 at US$/oz. The price of US dollar fell back since the election. US dollar spot silver fell to .US$/oz, hitting a new low since the US election. The price of the US dollar fell % since the US election.
Hunan Weide Bulk Commodity Spot Trading Center Investment Hotline QQ