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British Finance Before US Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen delivered a speech at the Federal Reserve's annual meeting, two more officials from the Federal Reserve expressed support for raising interest rates in the short term. The market is watching whether Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's speech at the annual meeting on Friday will shed light on the timing of raising interest rates. However, some officials within the bureau once again made "hawkish" remarks in support of raising interest rates as soon as possible. George, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, who has decision-making power at this year’s interest rate meeting, was interviewed by Bloomberg during the annual meeting. He said that the United States is close to full employment and inflation has risen close to the Federal Reserve’s target of 10%. It is time to increase speed. Interest rates will continue to normalize, but in the long run, interest rates do not need to rise much higher than current levels. Kaplan, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, also said that the job market continues to improve and the conditions for raising interest rates in the short term are increasing. He also emphasized that the outside world should not regard the August employment data released next week as an indicator of whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in September. Because a jobs report alone won't dominate the thinking of bureau officials. However, Faba believes that Yellen will not make it clear whether she supports raising interest rates in September before the employment data is released next week. I believe she will only point out that the market has begun to reflect the increasing opportunities for raising interest rates, and may also raise expectations for a better economic outlook. Deutsche Bank believes that Yellen will have a moderately positive view on the economy and retain the option of raising interest rates in September, but will emphasize that the pace of interest rate increases will be very slow and that long-term interest rates will be lower than before. However, a Citigroup survey of hedge funds and institutional investors showed that about two-thirds believed that Yellen would hint at raising interest rates in December, and that the pace of interest rate increases thereafter would be quite slow, making it difficult for the U.S. dollar to appreciate significantly.
The minutes of the previous Fed's July interest rate meeting were relatively dovish. The latest non-farm and real estate data were strong but inflation was sluggish. The top two and three leaders of the Fed made hawkish remarks one after another. The market is looking forward to Yellen's speech at the annual meeting on May. With more clues coming out, it is temporarily expected that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates only once or not in December this year. In addition, the UK's Brexit process is slow, the bad debt crisis in the Italian banking industry is brewing, the situation in Europe is turbulent, and the economy may be plagued by political risks for a long time. . The market has different opinions on the path of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. From monitoring, it can be seen that the chance of raising interest rates is % every month, and the chance of raising interest rates is % every month. If the chance of raising interest rates increases, it will be negative for gold and silver in the short term, and vice versa. The U.S. dollar index remains range-bound with support near the level, but the rise is subject to pressure near the level, and gold and silver may maintain consolidation. The U.S. ten-year bond yield fluctuated and fell slightly, and gold and silver were expected to consolidate in a range. London gold prices are affected by the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's future path of raising interest rates. The market is scrutinizing clues about the pace of interest rate hikes from various signs. The US dollar has fluctuated widely, and gold and silver have experienced ups and downs. There is some support for short-term interbank orders in the range for long positions, while the range is facing strong pressure from short positions. Two more officials from the Federal Reserve have made hawkish remarks, and the market is nervously waiting for Yellen's speech to guide the direction. Technically, the hourly moving average fluctuates upward, the daily chart shows range-bound fluctuations, and the weekly chart shows signs of bottoming out and rising.
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