Year1
- 白银：
- 15千克
- 基差：
- 15千克
- 升贴水：
- 15千克
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International spot gold continued to remain stable above the US dollar/ounce at the beginning of the Asian market on Tuesday (June). On Monday (Monday), as the U.S. dollar and U.S. long-term
Treasury bond yields fell from recent highs, the price of gold once rose by more than %, reaching an intraday high of $.USD/oz. However,
the market almost expects that the Federal Reserve will definitely raise interest rates this month. On the other hand, hedge funds are also continuing to reduce their bullish bets on gold, which greatly limits the rebound space of gold prices.
As expectations that U.S. President-elect Trump will increase fiscal spending have increased, driving up the dollar and rising U.S. bond yields, gold hit its lowest level since March last Friday (
). The U.S. dollar / ounce, the price of gold has fallen by about % this month. Gold's rebound on Monday was mainly supported by technical buying.
From a fundamental perspective, the Fed’s expectations of raising interest rates will not change much unless oil prices plummet and inflation cannot pick up and meet the Fed’s goals
Judging from the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting at the beginning of the month, Fed policymakers were confident that the economy was strong enough to support interest rate hikes before the presidential election.
In addition, from the perspective of physical gold, the demand for physical gold in South Asia is relatively strong, but China and India have recently introduced measures to restrict gold imports
This has triggered market concerns about the supply of gold from the two countries. Currently, Shanghai Gold premiums are approximately USD. China's gold premium rose to a nearly three-year high on supply concerns. The world's largest gold continued to reduce its positions by .% to .ton last Friday. After gold rebounded on Monday, gold prices stabilized at the US dollar level, and the next resistance level is US dollars per ounce. Investors will wait and see whether gold's rebound can be sustained and break through this major resistance level.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, at the daily level, gold prices encountered resistance after trying to test the US dollar mark overnight. On the indicator, the green kinetic energy column shrinks, the double line
The opening of the dead cross converges slightly, and the indicator rebounds, but the medium-term risk is still downward. In terms of level, it is expected to undergo a correction in the short term, but before regaining the USD mark, the downward trend is still there. The initial resistance for gold prices is currently located at the US dollar.
Gold Strategy Sharing
Under the influence of interest rate hikes, the upper space of gold is small. The first line of resistance touches the short position, and the stop loss is around USD.
Today’s key financial data and events] Tuesday, year, month, day
France’s initial value for the third quarter annual rate
Monthly Bank of England mortgage loan approval
Eurozone monthly economic and industrial sentiment index , final value of monthly consumer confidence index
Initial value of German monthly rate
New York Fed President Dudley gave a speech
Canadian current account in the third quarter, and the actual annualized quarterly rate revision in the third quarter of the United States
Annual rate of U.S. monthly housing price index for major cities
U.S. monthly Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index
The next day, U.S. crude oil inventories for the week to March
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