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> In the early morning of Wednesday (July 2019) Beijing time: data released by the American Petroleum Institute (American Petroleum Institute) showed that U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 10,000 barrels in the week as of March 20, and were expected to drop by 10,000 barrels. , after the release of the data, the short-term rise of U.S. and Burundi oil prices reduced their losses, and are now quoted at .USD/barrel and .USD/barrel respectively, but the market is still focusing on the follow-up matters of production cuts.
> Specific data shows that U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 10,000 barrels in the week as of March 30, compared with an expected decrease of 10,000 barrels, and the previous value fell by 10,000 barrels. At the same time, gasoline inventories increased by 0.0 million barrels that week, compared with an expected increase of 0.0 million barrels, and refined oil inventories increased by 0.0 million barrels that week, compared with an increase of 0.0 million barrels expected.
> The American Petroleum Institute also stated that crude oil inventories in the Cushing region of the United States rose by 10,000 barrels in the week ending March 2019, the largest increase since the beginning of the year. The previous value increased by 10,000 barrels.
> Well-known financial blog Zero Hedge Review Inventory data said that U.S. crude oil inventories fell for two consecutive weeks this week, and the decline was larger than expected. However, refined oil, gasoline and Cushing crude oil inventories all recorded increases, and oil prices seemed to be only responding to the decline in crude oil inventories. The market focus remains on OPEC, so oil prices are less volatile.
> The UAE Oil Minister said today that OPEC’s production reduction commitment will have a positive impact. It is expected that global crude oil production will not increase significantly in the first half of next year, calling for increased investment and development in crude oil. For OPEC, the market share is very important. Important, but managing the market is more important. Shale oil production will not grow significantly again. Increased Iranian oil production will require large-scale investment and a longer period of time. Increased Iranian oil production will require large-scale investment and a longer period of time after OPEC reaches the production reduction agreement. , the UAE will not change its long-term oil contract and shale oil production may rebound slightly, but the extent will be limited.
> The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its monthly short-term energy report on Tuesday (July 2), saying that the decline in U.S. crude oil production this year and next is expected to be smaller than previously expected.
> The report shows that the daily production of U.S. crude oil will decrease by 10,000 barrels to 10,000 barrels per day. Last month was expected to be a year-on-year decrease of 10,000 barrels. U.S. crude oil production will decrease by 10,000 barrels per day in 2020 to 10,000 barrels per day. Last month was expected to be a year-on-year decrease of 10,000 barrels.
> At the same time, the forecast for daily demand growth for U.S. crude oil in 2020 was raised to 10,000 barrels from the previous 10,000 barrels. U.S. oil demand is expected to grow by 10,000 barrels per day this year, compared with the previous estimate of 10,000 barrels.
> It also raised the forecast price of U.S. crude oil for 2018 from US$1.00 per barrel to US$2.00 per barrel. The estimated price of U.S. crude oil in 2020 was raised from US$1.00 per barrel to US$1.00 per barrel, and the estimated price of Brent crude oil in 2018 was raised from US$1.00 per barrel to US$1.00 per barrel.
> In addition, the annual global crude oil demand growth rate is raised by 10,000 barrels/day to a year-on-year increase of 10,000 barrels/day, and the annual global crude oil demand growth rate is raised by 10,000 barrels/day to a year-on-year increase of 10,000 barrels/day.