Year1
- 湖南纬德：
- 现货
- 湖南纬德：
- 天然气
- 湖南纬德：
- 招商
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Originated from The financial crisis continues due to ineffective monetary policies from central banks and rising bank debt levels seem to be spiraling out of control. If investors are concerned about bank developments, they will find news about the collapse of the Greek, Deutsche Bank, and Italian banking systems every day. And, in the coming months, these mountains of debt will continue to swell.
High levels of bad debt are a major barrier to global economic development and will further inhibit the production of future goods. This is an endless cycle. If the market continues to take on huge debts, investors' income will be reduced due to the economic downturn, which may lead to more debt. Therefore, these debts must be resolved. Otherwise, once the stock market crashes and banks fail, a real depression will come.
Although the crisis cannot be stopped, investors can use asset portfolios to minimize losses. Many market voices will say that gold is the best value-preserving asset, but they believe that silver is the best investment choice. Jinshi has previously reported that the current trend of silver is very similar to the bull market of the last century, both showing a cup-handle shape. According to this model and historical experience, it is not a dream for silver prices to rise to the US dollar
.
However, recently, while silver prices have fallen, silver speculative interest has been heating up, which usually means that physical silver demand will weaken in the future. Deutsche Bank expects that some hedge funds will then take profits from their long bets. Excessive net long levels often indicate upcoming risks. And the "Global Silver Yearbook" released at the China International Gold Conference yesterday showed that the fundamentals of silver supply and demand are still warm, but the extent is quite limited. Total supply will decline by %, but the impact on silver prices should be minimal.
Silver prices have risen by as much as % so far this year and are expected to continue to rise in the second half of the year, although the increase may narrow. We are optimistic about the silver price trend in the second half of the year, and the silver market is becoming increasingly active. It is predicted that the average quarterly silver price will stand above US$/ounce, and may exceed the annual high before the end of the year. However, given the large amount of hot money flowing into the silver market this year, the trend of silver prices will not be smooth sailing.
However, as investors’ expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates weaken and they worry about the ultra-loose monetary policies implemented by other countries, confidence in the stock and bond markets has declined. More and more countries are turning to negative interest rate policies, and the world There is still great uncertainty in the market outlook. These factors will cause investors to buy silver, pushing up the price of silver, which in turn will drive up the prices of other precious metals. In addition, there are increasing signs that the prices of other commodities have bottomed out and recovered, which also contributed to the rise in silver prices.
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