Year1
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Last Friday, the price of gold fell first after the Asian market opened. It quickly fell from the US dollar line to near the US dollar and continued to fall again after the European market opened. It once fell to the lowest after the US market opened. USD/ ounce. Half an hour after the U.S. market opened, the price of gold suddenly rose and returned to above the U.S. dollar, but then continued to fall, finally closing at . U.S. dollars per ounce.
Today (month), gold opened at .USD/oz, continuing the decline pattern seen on Friday.
Fundamental Analysis
On Friday, although stock indexes of various countries rebounded in late trading, they still ended relatively lower to varying degrees. The US Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by .%, the UK's FTSE fell by .%, and France fell sharply by .%. , while the German index fell .%. Analysts at Kayford believe that as the U.S. dollar index continues to decline recently, the global stock index continues to fluctuate and slowly rises. It is still not confirmed that it will reverse to the downward trend. Investors need to be careful not to hold too much bearish expectations.
Last Sunday, Stanley Fisher, Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve, said in a speech that he believed that the near-term U.S. economic prospects were extremely optimistic, and that the United States was close to reaching full employment and % inflation targets. It is expected that in the next few quarters, due to As investment increases, growth will pick up, and the drag on the economy from the appreciation of the U.S. dollar will decrease. Analysts at Kayford believe that the current market has many questions about whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year. Fisher's speech hinted that various indicators may meet the Federal Reserve's expectations in the near future, and the probability of raising interest rates will increase, which will be more beneficial than the US dollar and negative for gold and silver.
Japanese media reported on Saturday that central bank governor Haruhiko Kuroda believes that the real economy is recovering and it is more likely to achieve the % inflation target. Haruhiko Kuroda said that the Bank of Japan is still evaluating the current interest rate policy, and there is a high probability of further easing in the next month, but whether it takes action will depend on the results of the evaluation. However, there is room for further reductions in negative interest rates, and bank profits will not suffer a serious decline due to negative interest rates. .
British Prime Minister Theresa May said last Friday that it is expected that the UK will officially launch the withdrawal process from the European Union in March. She emphasized that she hopes to issue a withdrawal announcement before the French and German elections.
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