Year1
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The market is speculating on further easing measures by the European Central Bank, but it does not believe that the bank will increase easing measures this month. Slovenia's issuance of new euro bonds will help support more easing measures that the European Central Bank may implement. The Slovenian government announced a debt management plan that will expand the pool of assets eligible for purchases by the European Central Bank and contribute to more easing measures that the European Central Bank may implement. It is the second time this year that the country has taken this step by buying back old U.S. dollar bonds that no longer meet the European Central Bank's asset purchase plan and replacing them with new euro government bonds. The ECB's government bond purchase plan is determined based on the proportion of funds provided to it by countries in the region, but monthly data shows that the ECB has lagged behind in purchasing Slovenia, Slovakia, Lithuania and Latvia's government bonds, and has stopped buying Estonia. public debt.
Liu Hailin, Vice President of Emperor Financial Group, added that as to whether the European Central Bank will adopt more easing measures, it is currently expected that the European Central Bank will maintain its monetary policy unchanged this month. However, he believes that as inflation growth in the euro area remains weak, Europe The central bank will extend the quantitative easing program until after the end of the year. The ECB should keep policy unchanged for now. The ECB's future plans are expected to be accompanied by an easing of purchasing conditions. These policies are not expected to be implemented now. The European Central Bank is not expected to further lower interest rates this month. In fact, the European Central Bank announced in January this year that it would suspend the so-called currency war and instead focus on the credit channel issue in the banking industry, which is particularly important for the correct transmission of the European Central Bank's monetary policy. However, it is still unclear whether its scale will meet domestic needs. The Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank currently do not have many means to control currency appreciation. In order to continue to support global risk sentiment, the Federal Reserve must maintain real interest rates at low levels.
Today the annual meeting of global central banks hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City kicked off. At a time when people from all walks of life are worried that the policies of global central banks are not enough to save weak economic growth, policymakers participating in the meeting need to find new ways to increase policy firepower. At that time, Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen will also deliver a keynote speech, from which investors hope to get a glimpse of the Federal Reserve's future path to raising interest rates. Market participants will be cautious before Yellen's speech. Everything depends on what will happen in Jackson Hole. Based on market pricing, it seems that there is an overall expectation for a monthly interest rate hike. The speech may be more hawkish, which may push the market. An interest rate hike is expected to take place next month. It's hard to say anything at the moment, which means gold and silver prices may not change much. Gold will be under pressure before the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, which is expected to take place next month, and will view the decline as a buying opportunity. Gold trading will not be very crowded, and any decline will ultimately be limited, attracting investors to buy on dips.
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