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The price of national monthly gold futures closed higher on Thursday (June 2). The price rose by .USD, or .%, at .USD/oz. Gold rose on Thursday as minutes from the Federal Reserve's monthly meeting showed policymakers were divided on the need to raise interest rates soon, dragging the dollar lower.
Looking at the current four-hour line for gold, the Bollinger Bands opening runs downward, and the line runs between the middle track and the lower track of the Bollinger Bands. The first two four-hour periods collected two upward moving positive bars. The current daily moving average and the daily moving average are bonded to form a golden cross running upwards. The green kinetic energy of the indicator on the chart below weakens, and the upward golden cross between the two lines below the axis has initially formed, waiting for confirmation of heavy volume. The three lines of indicators gather together and move upward. Judging from the hourly line, the current Bollinger Bands are shrinking and moving upward, and the line runs between the middle track and the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. The current daily moving average has pierced upward and is about to bond with the daily moving average to form an upward golden cross. The red kinetic energy column of the chart indicator below is running upward. The two lines continue to run upward under the shaft. The three lines of the indicator are running at a high level and upward, and the three lines of the indicator are diverging upward and running at a high level. On the whole, Wu Changsheng believes that in the future market market, the operation of gold will mainly be long at low positions. Pay attention to the first-line support at the bottom, and the pressure on the first-line at the top.
[News Introduction]
On Friday, Beijing time, Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen will deliver a speech on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tools at the annual meeting of global central banks in Jackson Hole. Many analysts predict that Yellen is more likely to be dovish and that she may choose to talk about academic issues rather than the interest rate hikes that the market is expecting. But if Yellen makes a hawkish speech, it is expected to set off a big trend.
The theme of this global central bank annual meeting is to design a flexible monetary policy framework for the future. The theme of Yellen's speech was the Federal Reserve's monetary policy tools. Yellen is expected to remain cautious when talking about the Fed's policy tools and the current economic environment, and will not be inclined to discuss any current policy prospects. At present, the Fed is a mixed bag of hawks and doves, and conflicts of internal views have been plaguing the market. If Yellen's speech sounds too dovish due to lack of confidence in the economy, it will also lead to major turmoil in the market. The Federal Reserve has said it may raise interest rates twice this year, but the market expects only one rate increase this year in September.
Federal Reserve observers expect that the annual meeting is expected to discuss some long-term concerns, such as what measures the Fed needs to take to deal with future crises after global central banks adopt extreme easing policies and massively increase liquidity. San Francisco Fed President Williams recently proposed in an article that two changes in monetary policy should be made to respond to low interest rates: raising the Fed's current % inflation target, or replacing the current inflation target with some form of nominal target. He said that these two measures will provide the Federal Reserve with more room to cut interest rates in response to the economic downturn, but they will all come at a cost. This view has puzzled bond market investors because the Fed's current inflation target of 50% has not yet been achieved.
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