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There is increasing news that Iran, Nigeria and Libya may increase production. Oil prices fell 1% to a five-week low amid concerns about oversupply. A source familiar with Iran's tanker loading plans previously said that Iran's monthly crude oil exports increased by 10% month-on-month to more than 10,000 barrels per day, which is close to the export level before Iran was sanctioned by the West five years ago. Asian and European customers have high demand for Iranian crude oil; Iran's exports to India, the world's third largest crude oil importer, hit a record high last month, while crude oil exports to Europe rose by 10% to 10,000 per day. There are signs that Nigeria and Libya will resume crude oil exports. Crude oil supplies in both countries have been affected by domestic conflicts and unrest. Tiantian Chuangying Weixin believes that despite the upcoming meeting with other major oil-producing countries in Algeria on January 1 to discuss the production freeze, crude oil exports from Iran and Saudi Arabia have increased. Most market participants are skeptical about reaching an agreement to freeze production.
Tiantian Chuangying Summary: The oil market has been under pressure due to increased production and skeptical monthly reports from oil-producing countries such as Iran, Libya and Nigeria, as well as an increase in U.S. crude oil inventories and weak crude oil fundamentals. Oversupply of crude oil once again dominates the oil market. Tiantian Chuangying believes that oil prices may restart a downward trend.
Gold technical aspect:
Looking at gold from the daily line, the spot gold price moves downward along the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and the daily moving average indicator crosses downwards, forming an effective support for spot gold. The short trend will continue with the double figures in the attached figure. The line crosses downwards and the green kinetic energy column begins to shrink. The indicator is weak; on the hourly line, the Bollinger Bands are running upwards. The gold price fluctuates during the day and falls during the day. Continue to pay attention during the day - the two positions are short-term, and the daily moving average crosses golden crosses upwards. Gold is expected to remain in the later period. The chart will continue to move downward above the zero axis and has an upward trend. The red kinetic energy column continues to increase in volume. For intraday operations, Tiantian Chuangying recommends going long on dips.
For the gold part, you can refer to the operation suggestions:
, the white market hits the nearby US dollar target for short stop loss for the first time/
, the US dollar target for long stop loss for the first time - US dollar
Silver technical aspects:
Looking at the daily line, although the market last week was not big, the drop on Friday put the entire market in a slight downward trend. The negative lines recorded on Tuesday and Friday were larger than the sum of the positive lines on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday. Looking at the moving average, the daily moving average has fallen again due to Friday's negative impact and has fallen below the US dollar mark. This shows that the silver price will always be suppressed below the US dollar before the Federal Reserve decision this week. Friday's final close even fell below support. Then the support level of silver price this week can only look towards strong support. At this point, silver prices have basically given up all the negative gains in non-farm payrolls in early September. From the indicator point of view, the fast and slow lines overlap and have a downward shift trend. The green kinetic energy begins to emerge, and the three lines maintain a dead cross extending downward. Therefore, the author Tiantian Chuangying believes that the market trend on Monday should still maintain a mainly volatile and slightly bearish trend.
For the silver part, please refer to the operation suggestions:
Resistance level: ..
Support level: ..
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