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The policy has caused bond yields to be negative. Falling borrowing costs have made commodities more attractive, so after three consecutive years of losses, money is starting to flow back into the gold market.
Last Friday, Boston Fed Rosengren said that not continuing to exit easing will shorten the life of the economic recovery and that it is reasonable to gradually raise interest rates. The market believes that his view is hawkish, so it expects the probability of the Fed raising interest rates. Rising from % to % Dallas Fed Fed Kaplan said last Friday that the data in the past few months have strengthened the case for raising interest rates, but the Fed will act "patiently and prudently".
Massa believes that the market will re-evaluate the situation every time the Federal Reserve makes remarks or economic data comes out. Since September, the market has believed that interest rates will be raised once this year. However, economic data still cannot support the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. How will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates? Time to gain interest?
Traders also believe that economic data will be difficult to support the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month. The manufacturing index showed that the U.S. manufacturing industry has contracted, and the service industry index also fell to a new low in the month. Employment data released on March 1 showed that the U.S. job market was depressed, while a private report also showed that consumer confidence fell to a new monthly low.
UBS Group's report shows that precious metals account for 1% of the total assets of investors. This means that there is still "ample" space to increase the strategic gold allocation in the investment portfolio, which is expected to support the rebound of gold prices. Lynch, head of commodities research at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said that once the Federal Reserve delays raising interest rates, the price of gold is likely to rise above the US dollar per ounce.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) weekly report showed that the net long position in gold futures and options increased by 20% in the week ended on March 1, which is the largest increase since March 2019. Gold futures are expected to gain the largest gain since 2018. Annual gains, total open interest in precious metals also increased by % this year.