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Oil market opens higher with market news Analysis
Looking back at last week's data, the total number of oil rigs drilled in the United States in the week to January was 100,000, far exceeding the expected 100,000. After the data was released, U.S. oil prices fell slightly. Baker Hughes' oil rig count rose for the first time in the past week. The number of rigs drilled increased this week, the largest increase since January 2019, and the total number of rigs drilled was also the highest level since January 2018.
At 1:00 pm on Saturday (Monday), OPEC and non-OPEC oil-producing countries held a meeting in Vienna, Austria. OPEC and non-OPEC reached an agreement, and non-OPEC oil-producing countries will reduce production by more than 10,000 barrels per day. OPEC announced that it has signed a memorandum of understanding with a number of non-OPEC countries. At the same time that OPEC promised to cut production by 10,000 barrels per day last month, many non-OPEC countries, including Russia, promised to cut crude oil production by 10,000 barrels per day in total. For the first time, consensus was reached on the issue of production cuts. In Yuzhongjin’s view, for a long time, the market has been doubtful about whether OPEC can truly complete its production reduction target. However, at the Vienna meeting, non-OPEC oil-producing countries readily agreed to join the production reduction alliance, adding another benefit to the recovery of oil prices. This week investors need to focus on monthly reports and OPEC monthly reports.
Technical Analysis of Crude Oil
From the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands have closed flat, and the line is located at the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The stochastic indicators have gathered upwards. The trends of short-term indicators are not obvious, and the speed and slowness lines have formed above the axis. Golden Cross, the red kinetic energy column increases the volume. It is worth noting that the Bollinger Bands three-track flattening is accompanied by overbought pressure. The Bollinger Bands shrink, the Bollinger Bands middle track climbs upward, and the moving average is about to cross. Attached Figure fast and slow line bonding. On the whole, oil prices may fall slightly in the short term, but the overall trend is still bullish. Therefore, in terms of operation, CICC recommends focusing on falling back and going long. In the short term, crude oil will continue to fluctuate upward.
Part of the daily operation strategy of crude oil:
, go long when the callback is near .., stop loss .. points, the target is near ..
, go short near .., stop loss . , the target is around...
Analysis of spot gold and bank news
Looking at the market, the market has mostly digested the news that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week. However, gold and silver prices still remain at Trading within a relatively narrow price range, the precious metal is sensitive to central bank policies. The European Central Bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged also pushed the U.S. dollar stronger, putting pressure on gold and silver prices. This means that the market is still waiting for the Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting scheduled to be held next week, which will also have a relatively large impact on gold and silver prices.
This Thursday (May 20), the market will usher in the Federal Reserve’s last interest rate decision of the year. The market has reached consensus that the Fed will raise interest rates in the February 2020 resolution. In addition to the Federal Reserve’s decision, the Bank of England will also The interest rate decision will be announced next Thursday. The Bank of England is expected to maintain the current monetary policy unchanged. For investors, what needs to be paid attention to is the Bank of England's attitude towards the British economic prospects after the referendum
On the issue of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision , whether judging from the recent U.S. economic parameters or the strategic focus of Trump after taking office, the author Yu Zhongjin believes that there is great momentum for raising interest rates. However, before the interest rate decision, the US dollar and gold have already digested some momentum. In the context of the sluggish global economy and the ongoing geopolitical conflicts, risk aversion will continue to be prominent in the later period. Therefore, even if the rate of increase is as scheduled, interest rates, gold has also bottomed out and rebounded.
Technical analysis of spot gold
On the daily line, although there has been no new low for several consecutive trading days, judging from the strength of the counterattack, it is still a weak consolidation, and the price is running below the daily level, so this This kind of correction is what we usually call time changing space. Since Thursday’s drop, the gold price has been very consistent in hourly performance. It closed at the lowest on Friday. Although it was near the previous low, it was not too high in the early morning. rebound. In addition, if the lower support is tested multiple times, the kinetic energy of the continuous decline will gradually increase. Therefore, in terms of the overall operation during the day, the author of Yuzhongjin still recommends shorting on rallies.
Some intraday operation strategies for spot gold
, Go short near the rebound, stop loss, target nearby
, It is recommended to go long nearby, stop loss, target nearby.
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