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Crude oil prices consolidated near the U.S. dollar during the Asian trading session on Monday (Monday). Due to the surge in oil drilling last week and the unexpected increase in non-agricultural data, crude oil prices have limited short-term upside potential. In addition, the financial market has experienced a major earthquake since the beginning of this week. The Italian referendum failed and President Renzi announced his resignation. The euro will plummet and the US dollar may rise sharply.
Results of the Italian referendum: Renzi suffered a crushing defeat and announced his resignation
According to an exit poll conducted by TV station on Monday (June 2), Renzi's plan to restrict the power of the Italian Senate was rejected by about % of the voters. Two other polls also showed the anti-constitutional reform camp leading by at least 3 points.
Italian Prime Minister Renzi held a press conference in Rome to admit defeat in the referendum on constitutional reform. The outcome could end his political career and could trigger turmoil in the country's banking system.
Italian Prime Minister Renzi also announced that he will submit his resignation to the president and will leave the Prime Minister's Office tomorrow.
Moreover, the euro/dollar latest fell .% to . After Renzi announced his resignation, it once hit ., the lowest level since 2018.
Summary: The Italian referendum failed and Renzi announced his resignation. This also means that the previously expected impact of the Italian referendum failure will come true. The European Union is facing a disintegration crisis. The euro has fallen sharply, which is bullish for the US dollar index and bearish for the crude oil, gold, and silver markets. Crude oil investors are advised to enter the market with caution.
Turning point in production cuts this week: Meeting of non-oil-producing countries
Warm reminder: OPEC and non-oil-producing countries will meet on Friday (Sunday). This meeting may decide on global production cuts and stabilize the oil market. This will be the most representative turning point in the crude oil market.
According to two sources, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will meet with African countries in Vienna on Saturday (May 1) to finalize a global crude oil production limit agreement. The two sources had said the meeting would be held in the Russian capital, Moscow, but later said plans had changed.
In addition, according to industry sources, crude oil production in Kuwait, a member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), dropped slightly to 10,000 barrels per day in this month, while the United Arab Emirates almost remained stable at 10,000 barrels per day.
In summary, this week’s crude oil market will be another carnival week. If global production cuts are achieved, it will not be a problem for crude oil prices to rebound above the US dollar. If no good news comes out, the production reduction agreement reached by OPEC last week will not be a problem at all. It will also be affected, and investors are advised to pay attention at all times.
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