Year1
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Senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities
said that the growth momentum of the housing market has finally shifted back to the new housing market, especially in the southern region. With the increase in jobs and the accelerated inflow of immigrants, home sales and new home construction in the region have Strong increase this year. Another less influential data shows that the U.S. monthly Richmond Fed manufacturing index
, expected
, previous value
. Market investors are cautiously awaiting Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's speech on Friday. Investors have shifted their focus from Fed officials' hawkish comments on interest rates to Fed Chair Janet Yellen's speech in Jackson Hole on Friday. On Sunday, Fed Vice Chairman Fischer said that the Fed was close to reaching its employment and inflation targets. These remarks sparked market speculation that the United States would raise interest rates as soon as this month. According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch Tool, the market currently predicts a
possibility of a monthly interest rate hike of %
, and
the likelihood of a monthly interest rate hike of .%
. Investors are waiting to see whether Yellen will echo the hawkish views of Fischer and New York Fed President Dudley, or move closer to a more dovish stance in the minutes of the Fed's monthly policy meeting. Minutes of the Federal Reserve's monthly policy meeting showed that the Fed is in no rush to raise interest rates. Federal Reserve News Agency Hisenrath believes that although the unemployment rate is below %
for the first time in this year and inflation is gradually moving towards the %
target, the Fed is still full of doubts and uncertainty about the economy. Sure, and this year's conference will be shrouded in doubt and uncertainty. Schiessenrath pointed out that the slowdown in wage growth and the U.S. election have caused problems for the Fed. Yellen will give a speech on Friday, when she is expected to keep open the option of raising interest rates this year. However, strong economic data may prompt it to take action next month. What needs special attention is that if monthly non-farm employment increases by at least 10,000 people or the unemployment rate continues to fall, the Fed will be prompted to take action.
Senior market analysts
said that until then, the market may continue to remain cautious. Even after Fed Vice Chairman Fisher delivered a speech on the economy on Sunday, investors are still not convinced that the Fed will raise interest rates in 2020. The only question is whether Yellen will strongly hint at raising interest rates this year, or will she hint at maintaining current policy until early next year? Rabobank foreign exchange analysts said that regardless of the hawkish statements we have heard from Federal Reserve officials, there is still great doubt about whether the Federal Reserve can really raise interest rates. All we really need at this point is some direction, and we'll probably get that from the Jackson Hole conference.
Analysts
People are looking to the Fed for clues, but I don’t think Jackson Hole is as important as it once was, and Bernanke used the meeting to hint at possible major changes in policy.
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