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As the Jackson Hole annual meeting is being held, the market is waiting to see what signal Yellen will release. This year is the first time since the beginning of the year that the unemployment rate is below %, and inflation is gradually moving towards the % target. However, Fed News Agency Hisenrath said that the Fed is still full of doubts and uncertainties about the economy, and this year's meeting will be shrouded in such doubts and uncertainties.
Slow wage growth in the United States means that people's living standards are slowly improving. At the same time, millions of Americans are eagerly awaiting the presidential election in January, which has caused trouble for the Federal Reserve. Fed Vice Chairman Fisher said in a speech on Sunday (May 1)
The return of employment to a state of near saturation after the Great Recession is an extraordinary and underestimated achievement. To be sure, this has been a slow and difficult time for many people, in part because real growth has been slow compared to historical times.
This year’s Jackson Hole annual meeting will focus on issues such as the prospects for U.S. economic growth, federal interest rates and monetary policy. Why a slow-growing economy cannot afford too high interest rates when the economy returns to low unemployment and tame inflation. How high should federal interest rates be raised without hurting already weak economic growth prospects? Why the interest rate range remains low but But it can't stimulate economic growth or deflation. How long will interest rates stay low? If the Fed can't raise rates from near zero, which also means it can't cut rates too much, what can the Fed do when the next recession hits? If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates this year as many officials expect, whether it will delay the third rate hike for a long time has become the focus of attention at the Jackson Hole annual meeting.
On Friday (June), the Federal Reserve Yellen will give a speech on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tools. Fed News Agency Hisenrath said that she is expected to continue to reserve options for raising interest rates this year. If the economic data is strong, it may Prompt it to take action in the month.
What needs special attention is that if the monthly non-farm payrolls increase by at least 10,000 people, or the unemployment rate continues to fall, it will prompt the Federal Reserve to take action. But if the interest rate range remains low, the Fed may delay raising interest rates for a third time long after the next one. At the same time, the lower interest rate range also indicates the Fed's concern about an economic recession.
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